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AFL

Charlie Curnow

Carlton

+8.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -714 (1.14)
+8.7% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 3 Aug, 7:10AM
Model Probability
96.4%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+8.7%
Predicted Value
1.9 Goals

AI Analysis

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Charlie Curnow (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Charlie Curnow is a solid pick to score anytime based on his strong performance history. With a 1.8 average goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he averages 2.7 goals, Curnow shows consistent scoring ability. His 55.3% goal accuracy and 3.4 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, his 4.2 score involvements and 2.4 marks inside 50 demonstrate his active role in Carlton's attacking plays. Despite a slightly lower overall goal accuracy of 33.3%, Curnow's recent form against this opponent and his scoring involvement make him a reliable choice to snag a goal in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (47 picks) 63.8% (30/47)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending

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