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AFL

Brodie Grundy

Sydney Swans

+19.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -123 (1.81)
+19.5% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney
Fri 17 Apr, 9:50AM
Model Probability
74.7%
Implied Probability
55.2%
Model Edge
+19.5%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) Under 21.5 Disposals (-123)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the Sydney Swans and the GWS Giants, the spotlight falls on Brodie Grundy, the powerhouse ruckman for the Swans. Grundy, in his last five home games, has been a solid contributor but has hovered around an average of 21.2 disposals, just above the line of 21.5 set for this game. However, against the Giants specifically, his numbers drop slightly to 19.2 disposals on average. This trend suggests that Grundy might face a bit more resistance from the Giants, impacting his ability to rack up possessions. With his recent overall disposals average sitting at 18.4, there's a strong case for backing Grundy to stay under the 21.5 disposals line in this game. Trust the data and trends pointing towards a slightly quieter game for Brodie Grundy in terms of disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 58.3% (7/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 12 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 58.3% (7/12). The latest model pick for Brodie Grundy is Under 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Sydney Swans on Friday 17 April at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.