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AFL

Brodie Grundy

Sydney Swans

+1.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17)
+1.6% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Model Probability
87.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
20.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to surpass 14.5 disposals, Brodie Grundy stands out like a beacon under the Adelaide Oval lights. Grundy has been a midfield maestro, averaging a stellar 18.8 disposals in his last five away clashes. He's a possession magnet, with a knack for winning contested possessions (14.8 avg) and covering ground efficiently (196 meters gained avg). Facing Port Adelaide, Grundy has historically thrived with a 19 disposal average in their recent encounters. With his current form showing no signs of slowing down, Grundy's ability to impact the game with his precise kicks (7.2 avg) and timely intercepts (3.8 avg) makes taking the over on his disposals a smart play in this matchup. Trust Grundy to lead the charge for the Swans in the midfield battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Brodie Grundy is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.