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Sam Wicks

Sydney Swans

Value call

Sam Wicks (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: over 13.5 disposals that pays $155 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
16.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.9% · before adjusting for past results 73.9% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap -2.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST
Sam Wicks
over 13.5 disposals
Disposals Over 13.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.50 Odds-182
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Wicks is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%61.9%64.5%1.62+9.4%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Sam Wicks Over 13.5 Disposals (-182)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Wicks is set at over 13.5 disposals, and our numbers think there's a good chance he'll hit that mark. The Sydney Swans have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and averaging over 57 points before half-time in their recent matches. Wicks could get plenty of chances to rack up disposals as the Swans are known for their fast-paced style. Fremantle has also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, so it won't be a walk in the park for Wicks. The Dockers have been solid defensively, which could limit his opportunities. Still, with the Swans' scoring ability and Wicks' role in their attack, he has a good shot at going over 13.5 disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Wicks averaged 9.6 disposals, 0.6 goals and 1.8 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

9.6
Disposals
0.6
Goals
1.8
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (3 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Sam Wicks recorded 6 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide6014
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs8004
7 Jul 24St Kilda12011
29 Jun 24Fremantle10211
22 Jun 24GWS GIANTS5012
15 Jun 24Adelaide Crows9022
9 Jun 24Geelong Cats17051
23 May 24Western Bulldogs9112
17 May 24Carlton16110
10 May 24Fremantle13022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 13.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 2.5 Over -196 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Wicks (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Wicks is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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