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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Wicks is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 9:43AM UTC
AFL

Sam Wicks

Sydney Swans

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -238 (1.42)
+1.6% Edge
Sydney Swans @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 4 Apr, 8:35AM
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Model Probability
72.0%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
14.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.0%—70.4%1.39+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Wicks (Sydney Swans) Over 11.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want someone who's been consistently delivering the goods. Enter Sam Wicks. The Swans' young gun has been a shining light in recent outings, averaging a solid 14.4 disposals over his last five away games. Wicks isn't just about quantity; his disposalefficiency sits at a respectable 71.7%. Facing the Eagles, who he's historically snagged an average of 12 disposals against, the stage is set for Wicks to shine brightly. With his knack for finding the footy and making an impact, hitting over 11.5 disposals seems like a safe bet. Plus, riding a current hit streak of four away games and boasting an overall hit rate, Wicks is primed to split the middle and snag us a win in the disposals market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
10.5avg disposals recent
Season best17
Disposals last 10avg 10.5 · hi 17 · lo 5
131691795101286

Sam Wicks has a disposals high of 17 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Sydney Swans @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 11.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
04 Apr 26 Sydney Swans @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Wicks (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Wicks is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 4 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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