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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Wicks is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:16PM UTC
AFL

Sam Wicks

Sydney Swans

Value call

Sam Wicks (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 13.5 that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
18.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 69.2% · before adjusting for past results 77.6% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap -5.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals77.6%69.2%74.6%1.44+3.0%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Sam Wicks Over 13.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds are looking solid for Sam Wicks to get over 13.5 disposals in this game. The Sydney Swans have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 matches and scoring an average of 57.3 points before half-time. With their strong offensive play, Wicks should see plenty of the ball as the team looks to keep up their momentum. Fremantle has also been performing well, winning 7 of their last 10, but their average points before half-time is lower at 44.6. This shows that Sydney could dominate early on, giving Wicks more chances to rack up disposals. The biggest risk is how close these two teams have been in recent games, so it's always a possibility he might not hit the mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Wicks averaged 9.6 disposals, 0.6 goals and 1.8 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

9.6
Disposals
0.6
Goals
1.8
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (3 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Sam Wicks recorded 6 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide6014
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs8004
7 Jul 24St Kilda12011
29 Jun 24Fremantle10211
22 Jun 24GWS GIANTS5012
15 Jun 24Adelaide Crows9022
9 Jun 24Geelong Cats17051
23 May 24Western Bulldogs9112
17 May 24Carlton16110
10 May 24Fremantle13022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 13.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Wicks (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Wicks is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.0% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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