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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaac Heeney is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 94 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 94%, implied 88%, edge +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 9:05PM UTC
AFL

Isaac Heeney

Sydney Swans

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+5.6% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
94 in 100
Predicted
28.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 94.1% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +5.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals94.1%88.5%1.06+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Heeney is primed to shine on his home turf at the SCG against Port Adelaide. Over his last 5 home games, Heeney has been a disposal machine, averaging a hefty 30 disposals per game, well above the 20.5 line set by the bookies. His recent form is nothing short of spectacular, boasting an impressive disposal efficiency of 66.7% and racking up an average of 15.8 kicks and 14.2 handballs. He's been a key figure in the Swans' midfield battles, consistently winning contested possessions and notching up vital intercepts. With a solid track record of hitting his disposal line and an impeccable hit rate, Heeney is poised to once again split the middle and deliver for punters backing him to go over 20.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Isaac Heeney averaged 25.1 disposals, 1.4 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

25.1
Disposals
1.4
Goals
4.5
Marks
4.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Isaac Heeney recorded 14 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions14141
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide24266
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS30365
16 Aug 24Essendon22362
9 Aug 24Collingwood32163
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide17123
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs32063
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions19036
7 Jul 24St Kilda24254
29 Jun 24Fremantle20016
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 22.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaac Heeney is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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