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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Angus Sheldrick is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 79%, implied 76%, edge +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 1:48PM UTC
AFL

Angus Sheldrick

Sydney Swans

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+2.9% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
20.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.2% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +2.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.2%76.3%1.26+2.9%

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AI Analysis

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Angus Sheldrick (Sydney Swans) Over 16.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Angus Sheldrick is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. In his last five away games, Sheldrick has been a midfield maestro, averaging a stellar 19.6 disposals. His recent form boasts an impressive disposal efficiency of 69.0%, showcasing his ability to make every possession count. Additionally, he has been a key interceptor, averaging 2.4 intercepts per game on the road. Facing Port Adelaide, Sheldrick has historically upped his game, averaging 21 disposals in their previous encounters. With a line set at 16.5 disposals, Sheldrick's consistency and impact make the Over an enticing bet. Expect him to continue his midfield dominance and comfortably surpass the line, making this prop bet a smart play for punters looking to snag a win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Angus Sheldrick has cleared 17.5 disposals in 50% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o17.550%
o18.540%
o20.530%
o22.530%
o24.530%
o26.520%
o28.510%
o30.50%
o32.50%
o34.50%
o36.50%
o38.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Angus Sheldrick is averaging 19.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

19.4
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 16.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Angus Sheldrick (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Angus Sheldrick is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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