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The latest Bet Better model pick for Angus Sheldrick is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 9:47AM UTC
AFL

Angus Sheldrick

Sydney Swans

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -323 (1.31)
+2.9% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
79.2%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value
20.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.2%—76.3%1.26+2.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Angus Sheldrick (Sydney Swans) Over 16.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Angus Sheldrick is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. In his last five away games, Sheldrick has been a midfield maestro, averaging a stellar 19.6 disposals. His recent form boasts an impressive disposal efficiency of 69.0%, showcasing his ability to make every possession count. Additionally, he has been a key interceptor, averaging 2.4 intercepts per game on the road. Facing Port Adelaide, Sheldrick has historically upped his game, averaging 21 disposals in their previous encounters. With a line set at 16.5 disposals, Sheldrick's consistency and impact make the Over an enticing bet. Expect him to continue his midfield dominance and comfortably surpass the line, making this prop bet a smart play for punters looking to snag a win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
18.8avg disposals L5
Home21.6vs Adelaide Crows22
O 16.560%
O 17.550%
O 18.540%
O 19.540%
O 20.540%
O 21.530%

Angus Sheldrick has gone over 18.5 disposals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 18.8 disposals).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 16.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Angus Sheldrick (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Angus Sheldrick is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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