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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dane Rampe is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 75%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 3:40AM UTC
AFL

Dane Rampe

Sydney Swans

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
13.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.3% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.3%75.2%1.33+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions: Dane Rampe Over 10.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dane Rampe has been playing well lately, and the Sydney Swans have won seven of their last ten games. He's been involved in a lot of ball action, helping the team win contested possessions at home. With the Swans scoring an average of 111 points while allowing 84.9, there's a good chance Rampe will get over 10.5 disposals in this game. The Brisbane Lions are also on a roll, winning nine of their last ten. However, their recent defensive stats show they can give up a few possessions. The matchup is pretty close, so while Rampe has been strong, there's still a risk he might not hit that number if the Lions tighten up their defense. But overall, this bet looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Dane Rampe averaged 11.3 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.5
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Dane Rampe has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.570%
o11.550%
o12.550%
o13.550%
o14.540%
o15.520%
o16.520%
o17.520%
o18.510%
o19.510%
o20.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Dane Rampe is averaging 10.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

10.8
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Dane Rampe recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13052
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide14083
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS12134
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10150
16 Aug 24Essendon9085
9 Aug 24Collingwood6013
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6021
13 Jul 24North Melbourne8033
7 Jul 24St Kilda130102
29 Jun 24Fremantle12060
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 12.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 11.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Dane Rampe (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dane Rampe is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 5 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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