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AFL

Port Adelaide Power

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Sydney Swans (Away) Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM SCG, Sydney · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 6, 12:09PM UTC
Answer
The Port Adelaide Power model is leaning Port Adelaide Power in the Moneyline market vs Sydney Swans.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Moneyline
Port Adelaide Power
Odds: +410
Model prob: 36.5%
+16.9%
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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Spread Q4Probability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q4Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total PointsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
54% of games
Overcast
18% of games
Rain
15% of games
Sunny
5% of games
Clear Night
5% of games
Mostly Clear
3% of games
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

11 markets live
Moneylinevs Sydney Swans+410
-18.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power to winPF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power to win at +410, a 37% model win % (LONG-SHOT). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Total pointsvs Sydney Swans177.5 -114
65%under %
166.6proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 177.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 177.5 at -114, a 65% under % (LEAN). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Team total 1st halfvs Sydney Swans34.5 -114
66%over %
41.1proj. team pts (half)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power Over 34.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power Over 34.5 at -114, a 66% over % (HIGH). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Team total Q1vs Sydney Swans17.5 -115
61%over %
20.6proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power Over 17.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power Over 17.5 at -115, a 61% over % (LEAN). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Total 1st halfvs Sydney Swans88.5 -118
60%under %
83.3proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -118, a 60% under % (LEAN). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Total 2nd halfvs Sydney Swans88.5 -115
60%under %
83.3proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -115, a 60% under % (LEAN). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Total Q1vs Sydney Swans45.5 -120
61%under %
41.6proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -120, a 61% under % (LEAN). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Total Q3vs Sydney Swans45.5 -120
61%under %
41.6proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -120, a 61% under % (LEAN). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Line Q2vs Sydney Swans8.5 -115
67%cover %
-18.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power +8.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power +8.5 at -115, a 67% cover % (HIGH). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Sydney Swans9.5 -115
69%cover %
-18.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power +9.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power +9.5 at -115, a 69% cover % (HIGH). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Sydney Swans9.5 -120
69%cover %
-18.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickPort Adelaide Power +9.5PF/G68.0PA/G86.0L51-4

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Aug 8 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power +9.5 at -120, a 69% cover % (HIGH). Port Adelaide Power are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Port Adelaide are averaging 68.0 points for and 86.0 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 1-4 record.

1-4
Last 5
68.0
Points For / G
86.0
Points Against / G
-18.0
Margin / G
9.8
Goals / G
9.2
Behinds / G
50.2
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Port Adelaide Power are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Port Adelaide Power.

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