AFL
Essendon Bombers
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Hawthorn Hawks (Away)
Sat 25 Jul, 6:15AM
MCG, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 22, 7:13AM UTC
Answer
The Essendon Bombers model is leaning Hawthorn Hawks on the spread in the Spread Q2 market vs Hawthorn Hawks.
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Spread Q2
Hawthorn Hawks -12.5
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Spread Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Betting angles
6 markets liveTotal pointsvs Hawthorn Hawks170.5 -114+0.8% edge 54%over %
173.4proj. total pts
Model pickOver 170.5PF/G55.6PA/G97.6L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 25 - Total points: the model's pick is Over 170.5 at -114, a 54% over % (+0.8% edge). Essendon Bombers are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 against over their last five games.
Total Q2vs Hawthorn Hawks41.5 -115+1.7% edge 55%over %
43.3proj. quarter pts
Model pickOver 41.5PF/G55.6PA/G97.6L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 25 - Total Q2: the model's pick is Over 41.5 at -115, a 55% over % (+1.7% edge). Essendon Bombers are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 against over their last five games.
Total Q4vs Hawthorn Hawks41.5 -111+2.5% edge 55%over %
43.3proj. quarter pts
Model pickOver 41.5PF/G55.6PA/G97.6L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 25 - Total Q4: the model's pick is Over 41.5 at -111, a 55% over % (+2.5% edge). Essendon Bombers are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q2vs Hawthorn Hawks-12.5 -122+14.4% edge 69%cover %
-42.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickHawthorn Hawks -12.5PF/G55.6PA/G97.6L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 25 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks -12.5 at -122, a 69% cover % (+14.4% edge). Essendon Bombers are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q3vs Hawthorn Hawks-13.5 -114+18.1% edge 71%cover %
-42.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickHawthorn Hawks -13.5PF/G55.6PA/G97.6L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 25 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks -13.5 at -114, a 71% cover % (+18.1% edge). Essendon Bombers are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q4vs Hawthorn Hawks-13.5 -110+19.0% edge 71%cover %
-42.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickHawthorn Hawks -13.5PF/G55.6PA/G97.6L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 25 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks -13.5 at -110, a 71% cover % (+19.0% edge). Essendon Bombers are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
Essendon are averaging 55.6 points for and 97.6 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 1-4 record.
Essendon Bombers are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 25 July at MCG. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Essendon Bombers.