AFL
Essendon Bombers
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Geelong Cats (Away)
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 5, 3:42PM UTC
Answer
The Essendon Bombers model is leaning the under in the Total Points market vs Geelong Cats.
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Team Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 8 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).
Betting angles
8 markets liveTotal pointsvs Geelong Cats183.5 -112 68%under %
170.1proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 183.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 183.5 at -112, a 68% under % (HIGH). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Team total Q1vs Geelong Cats14.5 -114 71%over %
20.6proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickEssendon Bombers Over 14.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Essendon Bombers Over 14.5 at -114, a 71% over % (HIGH). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Total 1st halfvs Geelong Cats91.5 -112 63%under %
85.0proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 91.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 91.5 at -112, a 63% under % (LEAN). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Total 2nd halfvs Geelong Cats91.5 -116 63%under %
85.0proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 91.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 91.5 at -116, a 63% under % (LEAN). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q1vs Geelong Cats46.5 -109 61%under %
42.5proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 46.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 46.5 at -109, a 61% under % (LEAN). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q2vs Geelong Cats44.5 -118 56%under %
42.5proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 44.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total Q2: the model's pick is Under 44.5 at -118, a 56% under % (LEAN). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q3vs Geelong Cats46.5 -114 61%under %
42.5proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 46.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 46.5 at -114, a 61% under % (LEAN). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q4vs Geelong Cats44.5 -114 56%under %
42.5proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 44.5PF/G56.4PA/G118.8L51-4
Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Aug 8 - Total Q4: the model's pick is Under 44.5 at -114, a 56% under % (LEAN). Essendon Bombers are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
Essendon are averaging 56.4 points for and 118.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 1-4 record.
Essendon Bombers are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Essendon Bombers.