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AFL

Tom Papley

Sydney Swans

+6.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -357 (1.28)
+6.0% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney
Sat 14 Mar, 8:10AM
Model Probability
84.2%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+6.0%
Predicted Value
15.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) Over 10.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, there's nothing quite like finding a reliable performer at home. Tom Papley, the crafty midfielder for the Sydney Swans, fits that bill perfectly. Over his last five home games, Papley has been a busy man on the field, averaging a solid 13.4 disposals per game. Facing off against the Brisbane Lions, a team he's historically done well against with an average of 9.3 disposals in their recent encounters, Papley is poised to exceed the 10.5 disposals line set by sportsbet. With his knack for finding the footy, Papley's recent form boasting 15.8 disposals on average across all games makes him a strong choice for hitting the over in this matchup at the SCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 74.0% (37/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 11.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending

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