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AFL

Tom Papley

Sydney Swans

+1.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -556 (1.18)
+1.8% Edge
Sydney Swans @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 4 Apr, 8:35AM
Model Probability
86.6%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+1.8%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in the AFL, Tom Papley stands out as a prime candidate for the Sydney Swans against the West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium. Over his last five away games, Papley has been consistent, averaging 1 goal per game, showcasing his scoring prowess even on the road. His recent form against the Eagles has been solid, averaging 1.5 goals per game in their matchups. With a current hit streak of 2 goals in away games and a model prediction indicating a 84.7% chance of scoring, the odds are certainly in Papley's favor to split the middle at least once in this clash. This bet isn't just a shot in the dark; it's a calculated play based on Papley's recent performances and historical success against this opponent. Get on board with Papley to deliver in front of the big sticks and contribute to the Swans' scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 100.0% (8/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Sydney Swans @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (8/8). The latest model pick for Tom Papley is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 4 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.