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AFL

Western Bulldogs

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Carlton Blues (Home) Sun 16 Aug, 5:15AM Marvel Stadium, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 9, 6:30PM UTC
Answer
The Western Bulldogs model is leaning Western Bulldogs on the spread in the Spread market vs Carlton Blues.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Western Bulldogs -0.5
Odds: -110
Model prob: 71.7%
+19.3%
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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
36% of games
Rain
27% of games
Overcast
23% of games
Sunny
8% of games
Clear Night
3% of games
Mostly Clear
3% of games
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Moneyline Western Bulldogs ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Team Total Points H1 Over 46.5 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Team Total Points Q1 Over 22.5 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Total Points Under 172.5 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Total Points Under 171.5 ✗ MISS

Betting angles

1 market live
Linevs Carlton Blues-0.5 -110
72%cover %
+4.4avg margin (L5)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs -0.5PF/G74.6PA/G70.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Carlton Blues on Aug 16 - Line: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs -0.5 at -110, a 72% cover % (HIGH). Western Bulldogs are averaging 74.6 points for and 70.2 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Western Bulldogs are averaging 74.6 points for and 70.2 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
74.6
Points For / G
70.2
Points Against / G
+4.4
Margin / G
11.0
Goals / G
8.6
Behinds / G
49.2
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Western Bulldogs are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Carlton Blues on Sunday 16 August at Marvel Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Western Bulldogs.

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