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AFL

Western Bulldogs

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Gold Coast Suns (Away) Sun 19 Jul, 5:15AM People First Stadium, Gold Coast · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 16, 7:37AM UTC
Answer
The Western Bulldogs model is leaning Western Bulldogs in the Head to Head market vs Gold Coast Suns.
6 tracked player props · exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Head to Head
Western Bulldogs
Odds: +104
Model prob: 65.9%
+16.9%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Today's Player Props

Edge in green
PlayerStatModel output
Marcus Bontempelli Disposals Line, odds & edge locked
Rhylee West Goals Line, odds & edge locked
Arthur Jones Goals Line, odds & edge locked
Cody Weightman Goals Line, odds & edge locked
Bailey Williams Disposals Line, odds & edge locked
Matthew Kennedy Disposals Line, odds & edge locked

Every player prop for this team — line, odds, pick and edge — is ready for subscribers. Today's headline game pick above is free.

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Head to HeadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total PointsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q4Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 14 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

12 markets live
Moneylinevs Gold Coast Suns+104+16.9% edge
66%model win %
-7.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs to winPF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs to win at +104, a 66% model win % (+16.9% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Linevs Gold Coast Suns2.5 -111+19.5% edge
72%cover %
-7.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs +2.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Line: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs +2.5 at -111, a 72% cover % (+19.5% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Total pointsvs Gold Coast Suns170.5 -115+8.1% edge
62%under %
162.1proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 170.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 170.5 at -115, a 62% under % (+8.1% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Team total 1st halfvs Gold Coast Suns41.5 -108+11.9% edge
64%over %
47.1proj. team pts (half)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs Over 41.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs Over 41.5 at -108, a 64% over % (+11.9% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Team total Q1vs Gold Coast Suns20.5 -116+6.9% edge
61%over %
23.6proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs Over 20.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs Over 20.5 at -116, a 61% over % (+6.9% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Total 1st halfvs Gold Coast Suns84.5 -111+4.2% edge
57%under %
81.0proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 84.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 84.5 at -111, a 57% under % (+4.2% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Total 2nd halfvs Gold Coast Suns85.5 -119+4.4% edge
59%under %
81.0proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 85.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 85.5 at -119, a 59% under % (+4.4% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q1vs Gold Coast Suns42.5 -109+3.4% edge
56%under %
40.5proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 42.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 42.5 at -109, a 56% under % (+3.4% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q3vs Gold Coast Suns42.5 -110+3.2% edge
56%under %
40.5proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 42.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 42.5 at -110, a 56% under % (+3.2% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q2vs Gold Coast Suns0.5 -112+8.4% edge
61%cover %
-7.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs +0.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs +0.5 at -112, a 61% cover % (+8.4% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Gold Coast Suns0.5 -119+6.9% edge
61%cover %
-7.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs +0.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs +0.5 at -119, a 61% cover % (+6.9% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Gold Coast Suns0.5 -112+8.4% edge
61%cover %
-7.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickWestern Bulldogs +0.5PF/G72.0PA/G79.2L50-5

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 19 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs +0.5 at -112, a 61% cover % (+8.4% edge). Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Western Bulldogs are averaging 72.0 points for and 79.2 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
72.0
Points For / G
79.2
Points Against / G
-7.2
Margin / G
10.6
Goals / G
8.4
Behinds / G
45.8
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Western Bulldogs are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Gold Coast Suns on Sunday 19 July at People First Stadium. The model currently tracks 6 player props for Western Bulldogs in this game. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Western Bulldogs.