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Model picks & player props
AFL
SCG, Sydney
Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 3:15 PM AEST
Brisbane Lions
VS
Sydney Swans

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 35 markets for Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans and backs Sydney Swans hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $147.

5
Game markets graded
30
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Sydney Swans
to win
Sydney Swans Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$14.69Best price-213
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win81.5%
The price says68.0%

The model graded 35 markets for Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $147 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 5 Sep 2026, 3:15 PM AEST at SCG.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Sydney Swans High82% chance -213
Team Total Points H1 Members only Lean50% chance Members
Team Total Points Q1 Members only Lean46% chance Members
Goals × 3 props Highup to 86% Members
Disposals × 19 props Highup to 76% Members
Tackles × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Clearances × 2 props Highup to 84% Members
Marks × 3 props Highup to 77% Members
Kicks × 1 prop Highup to 70% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Brisbane Lions and Sydney Swans last met on Sat 5 Sep 2026: Sydney Swans won 141-88. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Sydney Swans
+ 4 more markets
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All 5 game markets and 30 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,068+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Sydney SwansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Lions

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Swans

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Conor McKenna Brisbane Lions Goals
James Rowbottom Sydney Swans Disposals
Tom Papley Sydney Swans Disposals
Caiden Cleary Sydney Swans Disposals
Jake Lloyd Sydney Swans Disposals

+ 30 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans — what the model found

Our model graded 35 betting markets for Brisbane Lions at Sydney Swans — 5 on the game itself and 30 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded
30
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 35 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 34 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans — recent results

Sydney Swans have won 4 of their last 5 games; Brisbane Lions have won 4 of their last 5.

Sydney Swans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L71–83FREHome
W141–88BLHome
W123–70NMFCHome
W112–76ESSAway
W167–70PORTHome
Brisbane Lions — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W96–89FREAway
W131–122HAWAway
W144–91ADELHome
L88–141SYDAway
W159–96COLLAway

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Sydney Swans won 2, Brisbane Lions won 1.

DateSydney SwansBrisbane LionsWinner
Sep 514188Sydney Swans
Jun 2583126Brisbane Lions
Mar 1410460Sydney Swans

Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans — model preview

Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions, 5 September 2026. Top of the list: Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Sydney Swans play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals, priced at -278 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Lions vs Swans, or as Swans vs Lions. The most recent game between them was Saturday 5 September 2026 at SCG. The model has generated 5 game picks and 30 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Sydney Swans 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 5 Sep 2026, Brisbane Lions at Sydney Swans: Sydney Swans won 141-88.

DateGameScoreWinner
5 Sep 2026Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans141–88Sydney Swans
25 Jun 2026Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions126–83Brisbane Lions
14 Mar 2026Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans104–60Sydney Swans
Today's selected board

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