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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Kyle is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:12PM UTC
AFL

Harry Kyle

Sydney Swans

Value call

Harry Kyle (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: Marks Over 1.5 that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
2.9 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.4% · before adjusting for past results 76.2% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap -10.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks76.2%64.4%74.6%1.55+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Harry Kyle Over 1.5 Marks (-294)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Harry Kyle has been on fire lately, helping the Sydney Swans win 7 of their last 10 games. They've also been scoring big, coming out 26.1 points ahead on average in their last 12 matches. With such a strong performance, it makes sense to bet on him getting over 1.5 marks against Fremantle. Fremantle have also been winning, taking 7 of their last 10 games, but they've been less consistent in their scoring. They average 44.6 points before half-time, which is lower than Sydney's impressive 57.3. The risk here is that Fremantle's strong defense could challenge Harry's marks, but given how well he's been playing, he's a solid pick to hit that target.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Harry Kyle - AFL Disposals market.

MarksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Harry Kyle - AFL Marks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 1.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Harry Kyle (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Kyle is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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