AFL
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Melbourne Demons (Home)
Sat 18 Jul, 6:15AM
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:09AM UTC
Answer
The North Melbourne Kangaroos model is leaning Melbourne Demons on the spread in the Spread Q2 market vs Melbourne Demons.
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Spread Q2
Melbourne Demons -3.5
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Team Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 14 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
| Date | Opponent | Market | Pick | Result |
|---|
Betting angles
12 markets liveLinevs Melbourne Demons-13.5 -112+6.6% edge 60%cover %
+3.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickMelbourne Demons -13.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Line: the model's pick is Melbourne Demons -13.5 at -112, a 60% cover % (+6.6% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Team total 1st halfvs Melbourne Demons40.5 -115+19.8% edge 73%under %
30.3proj. team pts (half)
Model pickNorth Melbourne Kangaroos Under 40.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 40.5 at -115, a 73% under % (+19.8% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Team total Q1vs Melbourne Demons20.5 -123+12.5% edge 68%under %
15.1proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickNorth Melbourne Kangaroos Under 20.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 20.5 at -123, a 68% under % (+12.5% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Total 1st halfvs Melbourne Demons90.5 -118+15.8% edge 70%under %
80.0proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 90.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 90.5 at -118, a 70% under % (+15.8% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Total 2nd halfvs Melbourne Demons90.5 -122+14.9% edge 70%under %
80.0proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 90.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 90.5 at -122, a 70% under % (+14.9% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Total Q1vs Melbourne Demons45.5 -119+10.6% edge 65%under %
40.0proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -119, a 65% under % (+10.6% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Total Q2vs Melbourne Demons43.5 -116+5.9% edge 60%under %
40.0proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 43.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Total Q2: the model's pick is Under 43.5 at -116, a 60% under % (+5.9% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Total Q3vs Melbourne Demons46.5 -120+12.9% edge 68%under %
40.0proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 46.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 46.5 at -120, a 68% under % (+12.9% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Total Q4vs Melbourne Demons43.5 -120+5.0% edge 60%under %
40.0proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 43.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Total Q4: the model's pick is Under 43.5 at -120, a 60% under % (+5.0% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Line Q2vs Melbourne Demons-3.5 -116+0.8% edge 55%cover %
+3.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickMelbourne Demons -3.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Melbourne Demons -3.5 at -116, a 55% cover % (+0.8% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Line Q3vs Melbourne Demons-3.5 -119+0.2% edge 55%cover %
+3.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickMelbourne Demons -3.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Melbourne Demons -3.5 at -119, a 55% cover % (+0.2% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
Line Q4vs Melbourne Demons-3.5 -118+0.5% edge 55%cover %
+3.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickMelbourne Demons -3.5PF/G70.0PA/G66.4L50-5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons on Jul 18 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Melbourne Demons -3.5 at -118, a 55% cover % (+0.5% edge). North Melbourne Kangaroos are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
North Melbourne are averaging 70.0 points for and 66.4 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.
North Melbourne Kangaroos are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Melbourne Demons on Saturday 18 July at Marvel Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for North Melbourne Kangaroos.