Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hayden McLean is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 67%, edge +14.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:59PM UTC
AFL

Hayden McLean

Sydney Swans

+14.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+14.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.2% · the book's price implies 67.1% · gap +14.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals81.2%67.1%1.23+14.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-204)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Hayden McLean's recent form, it's clear he's been finding his groove in front of goal. With an impressive average of 2.2 goals in his last five home games, McLean has been a reliable scoring outlet for the Sydney Swans. His knack for hitting the scoreboard is backed by solid shot accuracy at 58%, indicating he's making the most of his opportunities. Facing off against Port Adelaide, a team he's averaged 1.5 goals against in his last five home encounters, McLean seems primed to continue his scoring ways. With a line set at just 0.5 goals, the data suggests McLean is more than capable of snagging one through the big sticks in this matchup. Betting on McLean to go over 0.5 goals could prove to be a smart move given his recent form and scoring potential.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Hayden McLean averaged 11.0 disposals, 1.0 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

11.0
Disposals
1.0
Goals
4.5
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Hayden McLean recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions7042
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide16171
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS8031
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10163
16 Aug 24Essendon17061
9 Aug 24Collingwood11141
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide7242
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs11244
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions11163
13 Jul 24North Melbourne16281
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hayden McLean is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.