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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hayden McLean is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +12.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Hayden McLean

Sydney Swans

+12.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -294 (1.34)
+12.1% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
86.7%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+12.1%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals86.7%74.6%1.15+12.1%

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AI Analysis

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Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Hayden McLean's recent form, it's clear he's been a reliable goal-scorer, especially when playing away. With an average of 1.2 goals per game in his last five away matches and a solid goal accuracy of 45%, McLean has been a consistent threat in front of the sticks. Additionally, his involvement in the Swans' scoring plays has been impressive, averaging 4.8 score involvements per game on the road. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he's been particularly effective against with an average of 1.5 goals in their recent encounters, McLean seems poised to continue his goal-scoring streak. With an overall hit rate of 100% in his last five games, including two consecutive away matches hitting the mark, McLean's form suggests he's primed to snag at least one goal in this upcoming clash. Betting on McLean to go over 0.5 goals seems like a smart play given his recent performance and historical success against Port Adelaide.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
2122101010

Hayden McLean has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hayden McLean is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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