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The latest Bet Better model pick for Hayden McLean is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +14.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:07PM UTC
AFL

Hayden McLean

Sydney Swans

+14.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+14.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
81.2%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+14.1%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals81.2%67.1%1.23+14.1%

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AI Analysis

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Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-204)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Hayden McLean's recent form, it's clear he's been finding his groove in front of goal. With an impressive average of 2.2 goals in his last five home games, McLean has been a reliable scoring outlet for the Sydney Swans. His knack for hitting the scoreboard is backed by solid shot accuracy at 58%, indicating he's making the most of his opportunities. Facing off against Port Adelaide, a team he's averaged 1.5 goals against in his last five home encounters, McLean seems primed to continue his scoring ways. With a line set at just 0.5 goals, the data suggests McLean is more than capable of snagging one through the big sticks in this matchup. Betting on McLean to go over 0.5 goals could prove to be a smart move given his recent form and scoring potential.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
2122101010

Hayden McLean has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Hayden McLean (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hayden McLean is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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