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AFL

Adelaide Crows

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs Fremantle Dockers (Away) Fri 14 Aug, 10:10AM Optus Stadium, Perth · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 10, 6:55PM UTC
Answer
The Adelaide Crows model is leaning Adelaide Crows on the spread in the Spread market vs Fremantle Dockers.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Adelaide Crows +22.5
Odds: -111
Model prob: 70.7% · a $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands
+18.1%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
54% of games
Overcast
20% of games
Rain
14% of games
Sunny
5% of games
Mostly Clear
4% of games
Clear Night
3% of games
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks (100%).
5
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers Spread Q2 Richmond Tigers 13.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers Spread Q4 Richmond Tigers 13.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers Team Total Points H1 Under 52.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers Team Total Points Q1 Over 12.5 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers Team Total Points Q1 Under 26.5 ✓ HIT

Betting angles

1 market live
Linevs Fremantle Dockers22.5 -111
71%cover %
+29.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickAdelaide Crows +22.5PF/G98.2PA/G68.6L50-5

Adelaide Crows vs Fremantle Dockers on Aug 14 - Line: the model's pick is Adelaide Crows +22.5 at -111, a 71% cover % (HIGH). Adelaide Crows are averaging 98.2 points for and 68.6 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Adelaide Crows are averaging 98.2 points for and 68.6 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
98.2
Points For / G
68.6
Points Against / G
+29.6
Margin / G
15.0
Goals / G
8.2
Behinds / G
54.0
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Adelaide Crows are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Fremantle Dockers on Friday 14 August at Optus Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Adelaide Crows.

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