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AFL

Hawthorn Hawks

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Brisbane Lions (Home) Sat 19 Sep, 7:15AM MCG, Melbourne · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 13 bookmakers compared
Winner
Brisbane Lions1.87-115Betfair Exchange
Hawthorn Hawks2.14+114Betfair Exchange

Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks odds by bookmaker

13 books · best price in green
BookBrisbane Lions winHawthorn Hawks winHawthorn Hawks +2.5
Betr1.77-1302.05+1051.95-105
BetRight1.80-1252.02+1021.90-111
Dabble1.78-1282.02+1021.90-111
PointsBet1.80-1252.00+1001.90-111
Sportsbet1.80-1252.00+1001.90-111
TAB1.80-1252.00+1001.90-111
TABtouch1.81-1232.02+1021.89-112
Betfair Exchange1.87-1152.14+114—
Kalshi1.85-1172.04+104—
Ladbrokes1.82-1222.00+100—
Neds1.82-1222.00+100—
Polymarket1.80-1252.25+125—
Unibet1.80-1251.97-103—

Since the market opened: Hawthorn Hawks to win opened 1.97, best now 2.25 (decimal, best book).

Model updated Sep 15, 6:28AM UTC
Answer
The Hawthorn Hawks model is leaning the under in the Team Total Points Q1 market vs Brisbane Lions.
the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game97.1
Points allowed per game72.2

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Team Total Points Q1
Under 21.5
Odds: -108
Our numbers say this wins about 53 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands
+1.0%
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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Sat 19 SepBrisbane LionsHomeMCGPreview →

Recent Results

5–4–1 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
3 SepFremantleAway72–40WRecap →
23 AugWest Coast EaglesAway107–45WRecap →
15 AugHawthornAway92–92DRecap →
7 AugBrisbane LionsAway58–125LRecap →
1 AugHawthornAway83–99LRecap →
25 JulHawthornAway39–132LRecap →
19 JulRichmondAway122–52WRecap →
11 JulCarltonAway103–39WRecap →
4 JulHawthornAway125–90WRecap →
26 JunHawthornAway82–96LRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Team Total Points H1With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Team Total Points Q1With Pro

The model has graded 3 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
39% of games
Overcast
27% of games
Rain
20% of games
Mostly Clear
5% of games
Sunny
5% of games
Clear Night
4% of games
Average 17°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Cashed picks for this team

All results →
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
03 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers Team Total Points Q1 Under 21.5 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers Team Total Points H1 Under 43.5 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers Team Total Points H1 Under 44.5 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers Moneyline Hawthorn Hawks ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers Spread Hawthorn Hawks +16.5 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers Team Total Points H1 Under 42.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies Spread Q4 Collingwood Magpies 4.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies Team Total Points Q1 Under 23.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies Spread Q2 Collingwood Magpies 5.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies Spread Q3 Hawthorn Hawks -4.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Moneylinevs Brisbane Lions+100
53%model win %
+10.0avg margin (L5)
Model pickHawthorn Hawks to winPF/G84.4PA/G74.4L50-5

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 19 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks to win at +100, a 53% model win % (LEAN). Hawthorn Hawks are averaging 84.4 points for and 74.4 against over their last five games.

Team total 1st halfvs Brisbane Lions44.5 -115
58%under %
41.5proj. team pts (half)
Model pickHawthorn Hawks Under 44.5PF/G84.4PA/G74.4L50-5

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 19 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks Under 44.5 at -115, a 58% under % (LEAN). Hawthorn Hawks are averaging 84.4 points for and 74.4 against over their last five games.

Team total Q1vs Brisbane Lions21.5 -108
53%under %
20.8proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickHawthorn Hawks Under 21.5PF/G84.4PA/G74.4L50-5

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 19 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Hawthorn Hawks Under 21.5 at -108, a 53% under % (LEAN). Hawthorn Hawks are averaging 84.4 points for and 74.4 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Hawthorn are averaging 84.4 points for and 74.4 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
84.4
Points For / G
74.4
Points Against / G
+10.0
Margin / G
12.2
Goals / G
11.2
Behinds / G
55.0
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Hawthorn Hawks are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Brisbane Lions on Saturday 19 September at MCG. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Hawthorn Hawks.

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