AFL
Richmond Tigers
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Hawthorn Hawks (Home)
Sun 19 Jul, 3:10AM
MCG, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:06AM UTC
Answer
The Richmond Tigers model is leaning the under in the Total Points Q1 market vs Hawthorn Hawks.
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Total Points Q1
Under 43.5
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Total Points | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
| Date | Opponent | Market | Pick | Result |
|---|
Betting angles
7 markets liveTotal pointsvs Hawthorn Hawks176.5 -116+16.5% edge 70%under %
161.3proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 176.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 176.5 at -116, a 70% under % (+16.5% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
Total 1st halfvs Hawthorn Hawks87.5 -115+9.8% edge 63%under %
80.7proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 87.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 87.5 at -115, a 63% under % (+9.8% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
Total 2nd halfvs Hawthorn Hawks88.5 -115+11.7% edge 65%under %
80.7proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -115, a 65% under % (+11.7% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q1vs Hawthorn Hawks44.5 -118+7.4% edge 62%under %
40.3proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 44.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 44.5 at -118, a 62% under % (+7.4% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q2vs Hawthorn Hawks41.5 -109+1.2% edge 53%under %
40.3proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 41.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total Q2: the model's pick is Under 41.5 at -109, a 53% under % (+1.2% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q3vs Hawthorn Hawks45.5 -122+9.2% edge 64%under %
40.3proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -122, a 64% under % (+9.2% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q4vs Hawthorn Hawks42.5 -114+2.9% edge 56%under %
40.3proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 42.5PF/G64.6PA/G92.8L50-5
Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks on Jul 19 - Total Q4: the model's pick is Under 42.5 at -114, a 56% under % (+2.9% edge). Richmond Tigers are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
Richmond are averaging 64.6 points for and 92.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.
Richmond Tigers are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Hawthorn Hawks on Sunday 19 July at MCG. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Richmond Tigers.