AFL
Richmond Tigers
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Adelaide Crows (Away)
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 6, 9:58AM UTC
Answer
The Richmond Tigers model is leaning the over in the Total Points market vs Adelaide Crows.
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Spread Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Team Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 12 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
| Date | Opponent | Market | Pick | Result |
|---|
Betting angles
10 markets liveTotal pointsvs Adelaide Crows156.5 -112 61%over %
164.6proj. total pts
Model pickOver 156.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total points: the model's pick is Over 156.5 at -112, a 61% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Team total Q1vs Adelaide Crows12.5 -135 76%over %
20.4proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickRichmond Tigers Over 12.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Richmond Tigers Over 12.5 at -135, a 76% over % (HIGH). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Total 1st halfvs Adelaide Crows77.5 -122 59%over %
82.3proj. half pts
Model pickOver 77.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Over 77.5 at -122, a 59% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Total 2nd halfvs Adelaide Crows78.5 -111 58%over %
82.3proj. half pts
Model pickOver 78.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Over 78.5 at -111, a 58% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q1vs Adelaide Crows40.5 -108 52%over %
41.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickOver 40.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Over 40.5 at -108, a 52% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q2vs Adelaide Crows37.5 -119 60%over %
41.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickOver 37.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total Q2: the model's pick is Over 37.5 at -119, a 60% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q3vs Adelaide Crows39.5 -119 55%over %
41.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickOver 39.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Over 39.5 at -119, a 55% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Total Q4vs Adelaide Crows37.5 -119 60%over %
41.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickOver 37.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Total Q4: the model's pick is Over 37.5 at -119, a 60% over % (LEAN). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Line Q2vs Adelaide Crows13.5 -120 74%cover %
-32.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickRichmond Tigers +13.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Richmond Tigers +13.5 at -120, a 74% cover % (HIGH). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
Line Q4vs Adelaide Crows13.5 -123 74%cover %
-32.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickRichmond Tigers +13.5PF/G61.6PA/G93.8L51-4
Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 8 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Richmond Tigers +13.5 at -123, a 74% cover % (HIGH). Richmond Tigers are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
Richmond are averaging 61.6 points for and 93.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 1-4 record.
Richmond Tigers are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Richmond Tigers.