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AFL

Jake Lloyd

Sydney Swans

+7.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -278 (1.36)
+7.2% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Fri 25 Jul, 9:50AM
Model Probability
80.7%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+7.2%
Predicted Value
18.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jake Lloyd (Sydney Swans) Over 14.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Lloyd has been a consistent performer, especially away, averaging 20.8 disposals in his last five away games. Facing the GWS Giants, where he averages 21.5 disposals in their away matchups, Lloyd's model-predicted 18.9 disposals with a 7.2% edge indicates a high likelihood of exceeding the 14.5 disposal line. With a strong trend of hitting this mark in his last 10 away games and an impressive overall hit rate, Lloyd's proficiency in contested possessions, interceptions, and disposal efficiency further support this bet. Expect Lloyd to maintain his form and comfortably surpass the 14.5 disposals line set by sportsbet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 100.0% (6/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
07 Jun 25 Sydney Swans @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
07 Jun 25 Sydney Swans @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
07 Jun 25 Sydney Swans @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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