AFL
Carlton Blues
Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.
Next Game:
vs Gold Coast Suns (Home)
Sat 25 Jul, 3:05AM
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 22, 5:14PM UTC
Answer
The Carlton Blues model is leaning Carlton Blues on the spread in the Spread market vs Gold Coast Suns.
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Spread
Carlton Blues -6.5
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| Market | Model output |
|---|
| Total Points | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points H1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Total Points Q1 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Head to Head | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q4 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q2 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
| Spread Q3 | Probability, fair odds & edge locked |
Full model-edge table — 11 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.
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Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.
Recent form: won 2 of last 3 settled picks (67%).
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
| Date | Opponent | Market | Pick | Result |
|---|
| 18 Jul 26 |
 Collingwood Magpies |
Head to Head |
Carlton Blues |
✗ MISS |
| 18 Jul 26 |
Collingwood Magpies |
Spread |
Collingwood Magpies -7.5 |
✓ HIT |
| 18 Jul 26 |
Collingwood Magpies |
Spread |
Collingwood Magpies -5.5 |
✓ HIT |
Betting angles
10 markets liveMoneylinevs Gold Coast Suns+123+4.2% edge -1.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickGold Coast Suns to winPF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Gold Coast Suns to win at +123, a 49% model win % (+4.2% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Linevs Gold Coast Suns-6.5 -111+7.0% edge 60%cover %
-1.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickCarlton Blues -6.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Line: the model's pick is Carlton Blues -6.5 at -111, a 60% cover % (+7.0% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Total pointsvs Gold Coast Suns171.5 -116+11.6% edge 65%under %
160.2proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 171.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 171.5 at -116, a 65% under % (+11.6% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Total 1st halfvs Gold Coast Suns85.5 -118+6.5% edge 61%under %
80.1proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 85.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 85.5 at -118, a 61% under % (+6.5% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Total 2nd halfvs Gold Coast Suns85.5 -115+7.1% edge 61%under %
80.1proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 85.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 85.5 at -115, a 61% under % (+7.1% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Total Q1vs Gold Coast Suns42.5 -108+5.0% edge 57%under %
40.0proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 42.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 42.5 at -108, a 57% under % (+5.0% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Total Q3vs Gold Coast Suns43.5 -118+5.5% edge 60%under %
40.0proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 43.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 43.5 at -118, a 60% under % (+5.5% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q2vs Gold Coast Suns-1.5 -114+1.4% edge 55%cover %
-1.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickCarlton Blues -1.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Carlton Blues -1.5 at -114, a 55% cover % (+1.4% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q3vs Gold Coast Suns-1.5 -114+1.4% edge 55%cover %
-1.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickCarlton Blues -1.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Carlton Blues -1.5 at -114, a 55% cover % (+1.4% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
Line Q4vs Gold Coast Suns-1.5 -112+1.7% edge 55%cover %
-1.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickCarlton Blues -1.5PF/G75.4PA/G76.6L50-5
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns on Jul 25 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Carlton Blues -1.5 at -112, a 55% cover % (+1.7% edge). Carlton Blues are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 against over their last five games.
For & against (last 5 games)
Carlton are averaging 75.4 points for and 76.6 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.
Carlton Blues are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Carlton Blues.