AFL

Carlton Blues

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs Western Bulldogs (Away) Sun 16 Aug, 5:15AM Marvel Stadium, Melbourne · Outdoor

Model updated Aug 11, 9:32PM UTC

Answer

The Carlton Blues model is leaning Western Bulldogs on the spread in the Spread market vs Western Bulldogs.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Spread

Western Bulldogs -0.5

Odds: -110

Model prob: 71.7% · a $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands

+19.3%

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Upcoming Games

Next 1

Date	Opponent	Where	Venue
Sun 16 Aug	Western Bulldogs	Away	Marvel Stadium

Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status

Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:

Mostly Sunny

40% of games

Rain

28% of games

Overcast

15% of games

Sunny

6% of games

Mostly Clear

5% of games

Clear Night

5% of games

Average 18°C at these grounds

Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Cashed picks for this team

All results →

Recent form: won 8 of last 10 settled picks (80%).

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points	Under 174.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points Q1	Under 43.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points H2	Under 87.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points Q1	Under 44.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points Q3	Under 44.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points H1	Under 86.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Moneyline	Carlton Blues	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Spread	Carlton Blues +9.5	✓ HIT
09 Aug 26	St Kilda Saints	Total Points H1	Under 87.5	✓ HIT
01 Aug 26	Brisbane Lions	Total Points Q4	Under 43.5	✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

Betting angles

1 market live

Line

Linevs Western Bulldogs-0.5 -110

72%cover %

+1.2avg margin (L5)

Model pickWestern Bulldogs -0.5PF/G87.0PA/G85.8L50-5

Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs on Aug 16 - Line: the model's pick is Western Bulldogs -0.5 at -110, a 72% cover % (HIGH). Carlton Blues are averaging 87.0 points for and 85.8 against over their last five games.

Recent form

For & against (last 5 games)

Carlton are averaging 87.0 points for and 85.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5

Last 5

87.0

Points For / G

85.8

Points Against / G

+1.2

Margin / G

13.2

Goals / G

7.8

Behinds / G

53.2

Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Carlton Blues are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Western Bulldogs on Sunday 16 August at Marvel Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Carlton Blues.

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