Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Carlton Blues

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Geelong Cats (Away) Fri 4 Sep, 9:40AM MCG, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Sep 1, 1:20AM UTC
Answer
The Carlton Blues model is leaning Geelong Cats on the spread in the Spread Q2 market vs Geelong Cats.
the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game91.8
Points allowed per game76.3

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Spread Q2
Geelong Cats -1.5
Odds: -114
Our numbers say this wins about 60 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands
+6.8%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week. Cancel anytime.

Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenue
Fri 4 SepGeelong CatsAwayMCG

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
SpreadWith Pro
Spread Q2With Pro
Spread Q4With Pro
Spread Q3With Pro

The model has graded 4 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock full edge table

Cancel anytime.

Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
40% of games
Rain
28% of games
Overcast
15% of games
Sunny
6% of games
Mostly Clear
5% of games
Clear Night
5% of games
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Cashed picks for this team

All results →
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
29 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons Team Total Points Q1 Over 20.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers Moneyline Carlton Blues ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs Team Total Points Q1 Over 19.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs Team Total Points H1 Over 39.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs Team Total Points H1 Over 40.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs Team Total Points H1 Over 36.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs Team Total Points Q1 Over 18.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 St Kilda Saints Total Points Q1 Under 43.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 St Kilda Saints Total Points H2 Under 87.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 St Kilda Saints Total Points Under 174.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

Betting angles

4 markets live
Linevs Geelong Cats-6.5 -111
70%cover %
+35.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickGeelong Cats -6.5PF/G105.2PA/G70.0L50-5

Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Sep 4 - Line: the model's pick is Geelong Cats -6.5 at -111, a 70% cover % (HIGH). Carlton Blues are averaging 105.2 points for and 70.0 against over their last five games.

Line Q2vs Geelong Cats-1.5 -114
60%cover %
+35.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickGeelong Cats -1.5PF/G105.2PA/G70.0L50-5

Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Sep 4 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Geelong Cats -1.5 at -114, a 60% cover % (LEAN). Carlton Blues are averaging 105.2 points for and 70.0 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Geelong Cats-1.5 -115
60%cover %
+35.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickGeelong Cats -1.5PF/G105.2PA/G70.0L50-5

Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Sep 4 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Geelong Cats -1.5 at -115, a 60% cover % (LEAN). Carlton Blues are averaging 105.2 points for and 70.0 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Geelong Cats-1.5 -114
60%cover %
+35.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickGeelong Cats -1.5PF/G105.2PA/G70.0L50-5

Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Sep 4 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Geelong Cats -1.5 at -114, a 60% cover % (LEAN). Carlton Blues are averaging 105.2 points for and 70.0 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Carlton are averaging 105.2 points for and 70.0 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
105.2
Points For / G
70.0
Points Against / G
+35.2
Margin / G
16.0
Goals / G
9.2
Behinds / G
53.2
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Carlton Blues are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Geelong Cats on Friday 4 September at MCG. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Carlton Blues.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.