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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Cunningham is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +7.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 9:43AM UTC
AFL

Harry Cunningham

Sydney Swans

+7.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -208 (1.48)
+7.5% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 19 Mar, 8:30AM
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Model Probability
75.0%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+7.5%
Predicted Value
13.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.0%—67.6%1.33+7.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Harry Cunningham (Sydney Swans) Over 10.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to solid midfield contributors, Harry Cunningham of the Sydney Swans is a name that stands out. His recent form, especially in away games, has been nothing short of impressive. Averaging 11.4 disposals in his last five away matches, Cunningham has shown a knack for finding the ball consistently. Facing Hawthorn, a team he has historically performed well against with an average of 13.5 disposals in their previous encounters, sets the stage for Cunningham to shine once again. With his current hit streak standing at 4 games and an overall hit rate of 100% in his last 4 matches, the signs are pointing towards him surpassing the 10.5 disposal line set by the bookmakers. Expect Cunningham to be in the thick of the action at the MCG, racking up possessions and impacting the game as he continues his impressive run in this crucial midfield battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
60%hit L10 O 12.5
12.4avg disposals L5
Home14.2vs Adelaide Crows14.8Season best22
O 10.570%
O 11.560%
O 12.560%
O 13.530%
O 14.520%
O 15.520%
Game log vs line (O 12.5)avg 11.8 · hi 22 · lo 4
41013913112215138

Harry Cunningham has gone over 12.5 disposals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 12.4 disposals, best 22).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 10.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Harry Cunningham (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Cunningham is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 19 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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