AFL

Fremantle Dockers

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Adelaide Crows (Home) Fri 14 Aug, 10:10AM Optus Stadium, Perth · Outdoor

Model updated Aug 10, 5:18PM UTC

Answer

The Fremantle Dockers model is leaning Adelaide Crows on the spread in the Spread market vs Adelaide Crows.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Spread

Adelaide Crows +22.5

Odds: -111

Model prob: 70.7% · a $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands

+18.1%

Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status

Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:

Mostly Sunny

53% of games

Overcast

19% of games

Rain

16% of games

Sunny

7% of games

Clear Night

3% of games

Mostly Clear

3% of games

Average 19°C at these grounds

Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →

Recent form: won 3 of last 3 settled picks (100%).

3

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result
08 Aug 26	Melbourne Demons	Moneyline	Melbourne Demons	✓ HIT
08 Aug 26	Melbourne Demons	Team Total Points H1	Over 39.5	✓ HIT
08 Aug 26	Melbourne Demons	Team Total Points H1	Over 40.5	✓ HIT

Betting angles

1 market live

Line

Linevs Adelaide Crows22.5 -111

71%cover %

+33.2avg margin (L5)

Model pickAdelaide Crows +22.5PF/G100.0PA/G66.8L50-5

Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows on Aug 14 - Line: the model's pick is Adelaide Crows +22.5 at -111, a 71% cover % (HIGH). Fremantle Dockers are averaging 100.0 points for and 66.8 against over their last five games.

Recent form

For & against (last 5 games)

Fremantle are averaging 100.0 points for and 66.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5

Last 5

100.0

Points For / G

66.8

Points Against / G

+33.2

Margin / G

14.8

Goals / G

11.2

Behinds / G

55.4

Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Fremantle Dockers are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Adelaide Crows on Friday 14 August at Optus Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Fremantle Dockers.

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