AFL

Melbourne Demons

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Port Adelaide Power (Away) Sat 15 Aug, 10:10AM Adelaide Oval, Adelaide · Outdoor

Model updated Aug 10, 6:57PM UTC

Answer

The Melbourne Demons model is leaning Port Adelaide Power in the Moneyline market vs Port Adelaide Power.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Moneyline

Port Adelaide Power

Odds: +146

Model prob: 43.3% · a $100 bet returns about $246 if it lands

+2.7%

Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status

Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:

Mostly Sunny

45% of games

Rain

23% of games

Overcast

21% of games

Sunny

6% of games

Clear Night

3% of games

Windy

2% of games

Average 18°C at these grounds

Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →

Recent form: won 3 of last 3 settled picks (100%).

3

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result
08 Aug 26	Fremantle Dockers	Moneyline	Melbourne Demons	✓ HIT
08 Aug 26	Fremantle Dockers	Team Total Points H1	Over 40.5	✓ HIT
08 Aug 26	Fremantle Dockers	Team Total Points H1	Over 39.5	✓ HIT

Betting angles

1 market live

Moneyline

Moneylinevs Port Adelaide Power+146

Melbourne Demons vs Port Adelaide Power on Aug 15 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Port Adelaide Power to win at +146, a 43% model win % (LONG-SHOT).

About This Team

Melbourne Demons are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 15 August at Adelaide Oval. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Melbourne Demons.

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