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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joel Amartey is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 75%, edge +18.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 3:38PM UTC
AFL

Joel Amartey

Sydney Swans

+18.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
+18.7% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.3% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +18.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals93.3%74.6%1.07+18.7%

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AI Analysis

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Joel Amartey (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Joel Amartey is on fire, snagging goals left, right, and center. In his last five away games, he's been a scoring machine, averaging a whopping 2.2 goals per game. His accuracy is sharp at 68%, making him a real threat in front of the big sticks. With 3.4 shots at goal on average, he's constantly pressuring the opposition defense. Amartey doesn't just kick goals; he's involved in the plays, with 5.2 score involvements per game. Facing Port Adelaide, who he's historically scored against, Amartey's recent form and consistency make him a solid bet to keep the goal count ticking over. Backing him to bag at least one goal in this matchup seems like a safe bet considering his current streak and form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Joel Amartey averaged 7.7 disposals, 1.7 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

7.7
Disposals
1.7
Goals
3.2
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Joel Amartey recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions7030
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide16352
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS4105
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10240
16 Aug 24Essendon8240
9 Aug 24Collingwood11043
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs10026
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6141
13 Jul 24North Melbourne10252
7 Jul 24St Kilda9031
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Joel Amartey (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joel Amartey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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