Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
AFL
SCG, Sydney
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 3:20 PM AEST
North Melbourne Kangaroos
VS
Sydney Swans

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 18 markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans and backs Under 44.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $188.

9
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Sydney Swans
under 44.5 points
Under 44.5 Team Total Points H1
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77Best price-114
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.0%
The price says53.2%

The model graded 18 markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 3:20 PM AEST at SCG.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Points H1 Sydney Swans Under 44.5 High61% chance -114
Team Total Points Q1 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot28% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean55% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Disposals × 3 props Highup to 86% Members
Goals × 6 props Highup to 64% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

North Melbourne Kangaroos and Sydney Swans last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026: Sydney Swans won 123-70. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total Points H1
Under
44.5
+ 8 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 9 game markets and 9 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney SwansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Swans

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Finn O'Sullivan North Melbourne Disposals
Callum Mills Sydney Swans Disposals
Jy Simpkin North Melbourne Goals
James Rowbottom Sydney Swans Goals
Aidan Corr North Melbourne Disposals

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos at Sydney Swans — 9 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans — recent results

Sydney Swans have won 4 of their last 5 games; North Melbourne Kangaroos have won 0 of their last 0.

Sydney Swans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L71–83FREHome
W141–88BLHome
W123–70NMFCHome
W112–76ESSAway
W167–70PORTHome

North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans — model preview

Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos, 23 August 2026. Top of the list: Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals. Here is why, in plain English.

On Sunday 23 August 2026, Sydney Swans play North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals, priced at -294 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Aidan Corr, the Kangaroos' defensive linchpin, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against the Swans at the SCG. Over his last five away games, Corr has been a beacon of consistency, averaging an impressive 11.6 disposals per match. What sets him apart is his ability to read the play, evidenced by his 4.2 intercepts per game on the road recently. Facing the Swans, Corr has historically upped his game, averaging 13.5 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model predicting him to surpass the 11.5 disposal mark comfortably and boasting an enticing 84.9% disposal efficiency in away fixtures, Corr is primed to impact the game significantly. Backing Corr to go over 11.5 disposals could prove a smart play, given his form and historical performance against the Swans.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Kangaroos vs Swans, or as Swans vs Kangaroos. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at SCG. The model has generated 9 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Sydney Swans 3–0 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Sun 23 Aug 2026, North Melbourne Kangaroos at Sydney Swans: Sydney Swans won 123-70.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans123–70Sydney Swans
9 May 2026Sydney Swans @ North Melbourne Kangaroos97–105Sydney Swans
3 May 2026Melbourne @ Sydney Swans131–114Sydney Swans
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.