Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
North Melbourne Kangaroos
VS
Sydney Swans

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:15AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
SCG, Sydney
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:20AM
20
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 44.5 Team Total Points H1 -114

The model graded 29 markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:20AM at SCG.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.0%
The price says53.2%
Best price-114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Points H1 Under 44.5 High61% chance -114
Team Total Points Q1 Lean59% chance
Team Total Points Q1 Lean56% chance
Team Total Points Q1 Lean55% chance
Moneyline Long-shot28% chance
Total Points Lean55% chance
Spread Lean47% chance
Spread Lean47% chance
Moneyline Lean46% chance
Disposals × 3 props Highup to 86%
Goals × 6 props Highup to 64%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Jy Simpkin Over 0.5 · $100 returned $218

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total Points H1
Under
44.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 9 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Melbourne KangaroosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney SwansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Swans

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Finn O'Sullivan North Melbourne Disposals
Callum Mills Sydney Swans Disposals
Jy Simpkin North Melbourne Goals
James Rowbottom Sydney Swans Goals
Aidan Corr North Melbourne Disposals

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans — what the model found

Our model graded 29 betting markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos at Sydney Swans — 20 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 29 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 28 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans — recent results

Sydney Swans have won 5 of their last 5 games; North Melbourne Kangaroos have won 0 of their last 0.

Sydney Swans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W123–70NMFCHome
W112–76ESSAway
W167–70PORTHome
W107–88STKAway
W139–88GWSAway

North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans — model preview

Sydney Swans v North Melbourne Kangaroos, 23 August 2026. Top of the list: Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals. Here is why, in plain English.

On Sunday 23 August 2026, Sydney Swans play North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals, priced at -294 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 11.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Aidan Corr, the Kangaroos' defensive linchpin, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against the Swans at the SCG. Over his last five away games, Corr has been a beacon of consistency, averaging an impressive 11.6 disposals per match. What sets him apart is his ability to read the play, evidenced by his 4.2 intercepts per game on the road recently. Facing the Swans, Corr has historically upped his game, averaging 13.5 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model predicting him to surpass the 11.5 disposal mark comfortably and boasting an enticing 84.9% disposal efficiency in away fixtures, Corr is primed to impact the game significantly. Backing Corr to go over 11.5 disposals could prove a smart play, given his form and historical performance against the Swans.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Moneyline Sydney Swans ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Kangaroos vs Swans, or as Swans vs Kangaroos. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at SCG. The model has generated 20 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.