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AFL

Jai Serong

Sydney Swans

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -769 (1.13)
+0.9% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
89.4%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
18.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jai Serong (Sydney Swans) Over 12.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Jai Serong's recent form, it's clear he's in red-hot touch. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging 20.2 disposals, well above the set line of 12.5. His ability to find space, evident in his 11.2 kicks and 9 handballs per game, coupled with a solid disposal efficiency of 77.3%, makes him a key playmaker for the Swans. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he averages 7.5 disposals against, Jai is poised to exploit their midfield matchup. With a streak of 4 consecutive hits on the road and an impressive 88.5% implied probability, backing Jai to surpass 12.5 disposals is a smart bet. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and driving Sydney's offensive thrust.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 12.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jai Serong (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Jai Serong is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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