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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Rowbottom is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 12:12PM UTC
AFL

James Rowbottom

Sydney Swans

+3.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -233 (1.43)
+3.4% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sun 6 Jul, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.3%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+3.4%
Predicted Value
17.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.3%69.9%1.36+3.4%

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AI Analysis

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James Rowbottom (Sydney Swans) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

James Rowbottom is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals based on his recent form. With a strong average of 18 disposals in his last five home games, including 23 against Fremantle, and an overall 15-disposal average, he consistently meets or surpasses this line. Rowbottom's ability to gain meters and intercept the ball further supports his potential to accumulate possessions. Despite a slight decrease in kicks, his handballing and contested possessions remain steady. With a solid hit rate and a model predicting 17.6 disposals, the 3.4% edge suggests a favorable opportunity for Rowbottom to contribute significantly in the upcoming game against the Fremantle Dockers at the SCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
19.2avg disposals recent
Season best32
Disposals last 10avg 19.2 · hi 23 · lo 16
23182216211721181818

James Rowbottom has a disposals high of 32 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

James Rowbottom (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Rowbottom is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Sunday 6 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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