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Model picks & player props
Sydney Swans
VS
Port Adelaide Power

Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:10PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun 2026, 9:35AM
20
Game Picks
17
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Port Adelaide Power (Head to Head)
For Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power (AFL), model win probability 53.0%, fair odds 1.89, book price +184, model edge +17.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 13 Jun 2026, 9:35AM at Adelaide Oval.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Power
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Port Adelaide PowerHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Port Adelaide PowerSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Port Adelaide PowerSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Port Adelaide PowerSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Port Adelaide PowerSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney SwansSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Swans

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Power

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Joel Amartey Sydney Swans Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Riley Bice Sydney Swans Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kane Farrell Port Adelaide Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Chad Warner Sydney Swans Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Charlie Curnow Sydney Swans Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Port Adelaide Power playing Sydney Swans. Includes analysis on key players like Zak Butters. Analysis includes AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans stats and odds.</p>

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Over 24.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Zak Butters, the young gun from Port Adelaide, is set to light up Adelaide Oval against the Sydney Swans. Over his last five home games, Butters has been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 29.8 possessions per game. His precision is on point too, boasting a solid 72.5% disposal efficiency. Facing the Swans, he's been even more prolific, notching an average of 26.4 disposals in their recent encounters. With a model predicting him to hit 30.8 disposals, Butters' current form is red hot. He's on a five-game streak of smashing the over on disposals, and his overall season hit rate is a perfect 11/11. It's clear that Butters is in the form of his life, making the Over 24.5 disposals a tantalizing bet for this showdown.

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) Over 15.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Kane Farrell is primed to deliver big in the disposals department when the Port Adelaide Power clash with the Sydney Swans on home turf at Adelaide Oval. Farrell's recent form at home has been nothing short of impressive, averaging a whopping 21.8 disposals per game over the last 5 home matches. His ability to find space and impact the play is evident, with solid numbers in kicks (17.8) and metres gained (506). Facing the Swans, he has historically upped his game, with an average of 18.5 disposals in their recent encounters. With his exceptional disposal efficiency (83.9%) and consistent performance, Farrell is poised to surpass the 15.5 mark comfortably. Backing Farrell to rack up the possessions is a smart move given his track record and form.

James Jordon (Sydney Swans) Over 13.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

With the Sydney Swans hitting the road to take on the Port Adelaide Power at the Adelaide Oval, all eyes are on James Jordon to shine in the disposals department. Over his last five away games, Jordon has been a midfield maestro, averaging a healthy 14.2 disposals with a solid 76.0% disposal efficiency. Against the upcoming opponent and overall, he's been even more impressive, averaging 15.4 and 17 disposals, respectively. With a current hit streak of six and a hit rate of 6/6, Jordon is in the form of his life. Expect him to continue his stellar run, finding plenty of the footy and easily surpassing the set line of 13.5 disposals. This bet on Jordon's disposals going over is as safe as houses.

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans : Under 160.5 Total Points (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Get ready for a clash at Adelaide Oval between Port Adelaide Power and Sydney Swans that promises a gritty battle on the field. Recent trends indicate a defensive showdown brewing, with Port Adelaide's last five games at home seeing an average of 79.8 points against them. They'll be facing a Sydney side that's been solid on the road, conceding just 77.6 points on average in their away fixtures. Both teams boast impressive defensive structures, with Port's home games averaging 51 inside 50s and Sydney's away games seeing 56.8 inside 50s per match. With these stout defenses and disciplined midfields, expect a hard-fought contest where points may be hard to come by. The under 160.5 total points wager looks enticing given these recent defensive performances.

James Jordon (Sydney Swans) Over 12.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, James Jordon is the man to watch. The Sydney Swans midfielder has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 14.2 disposals per game in his last five away matches. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he's historically performed well against, Jordon's recent form suggests he's set to shine once again. With an impressive 76.0% disposal efficiency and 6.6 kicks per game on the road, Jordon is a reliable ball magnet who knows how to find his teammates with precision. His ability to cover the ground effectively, averaging 225.8 meters gained, indicates he's not afraid to take risks and push forward. Given his current hit streak of four away games with hits in all, and an overall hit rate of 10/10 in his last matches, Jordon looks poised to surpass the 12.5 disposal mark comfortably. Betting on him to hit the over in this matchup seems like a smart move, considering his consistency and recent form.

Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Goals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk about young gun Jason Horne-Francis of the Port Adelaide Power. This Saturday, when the Power take on the Sydney Swans at the Adelaide Oval, all eyes will be on this rising star. In his last 5 home games, Jason has been lighting it up, averaging 1.4 goals per game with a solid 53.0% goal accuracy. His hunger for snagging goals is evident through his 2.4 shots at goal per game and impressive 7.4 score involvements. Facing the Swans, he's been even more lethal, averaging 0.7 goals against them at home. Riding a current hit streak of 2, including a goal in his last game, Jason Horne-Francis is poised to split the middle and secure us that Over 0.5 goals bet this weekend. Trust the stats, trust the form – Jason is primed to deliver on the big stage.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
13 Jun 26 Head to Head Port Adelaide Power ✗ MISS
13 Jun 26 Total Points Under 160.5 ✗ MISS
13 Jun 26 Total Points Under 165.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 13 June 2026 at Adelaide Oval. The model has generated 20 game picks and 17 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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