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The latest Bet Better model pick for Braeden Campbell is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:12PM UTC
AFL

Braeden Campbell

Sydney Swans

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -244 (1.41) · $100→$141
+0.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 2 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
12.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.0%—70.9%1.41+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Braeden Campbell is poised to shine in this matchup against Essendon based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 12.3 disposals and a consistent L5 average of 11 disposals in home games, Campbell's performance is expected to exceed the set line of 9.5. His strong metrics in kicks (6.8) and metres gained (189.8) further support this bet. Additionally, Campbell's historical performance against Essendon with an average of 14 disposals in the last five games adds confidence. With a solid 70.9% implied probability and his current hit streak of 2 in home games, Campbell is primed to surpass the disposals line, making the Over 9.5 a favorable choice for this AFL player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11avg disposals recent
Season best17
Disposals last 10avg 11 · hi 14 · lo 4
13131312111314984

Braeden Campbell has a disposals high of 17 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.4avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
1000020100

Braeden Campbell has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Braeden Campbell is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 2 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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