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The latest Bet Better model pick for Braeden Campbell is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 81%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 22, 7:02AM UTC
AFL

Braeden Campbell

Sydney Swans

Value call

Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: Marks Over 1.5 that pays $124 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -417 (1.24) · $100→$124
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
3.1 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 69.7% · before adjusting for past results 81.9% · the book's price implies 80.6% · gap -10.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks81.9%69.7%80.6%1.43+1.2%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Braeden Campbell Over 1.5 Marks (-417)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Braeden Campbell needs to get more than 1.5 marks for this bet to pay off. He has been performing really well lately, showing he can make a strong impact in games. The numbers suggest he has been winning a lot more contests, and his tackles inside the 50 are higher than usual, which means he's getting closer to scoring opportunities. The only downside is that Fremantle is a solid team, so the competition could be tough tonight. However, Campbell's recent form makes this a great chance for him to shine. With the way he's been playing, it feels likely he'll grab at least two marks during the match.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Braeden Campbell averaged 10.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

10.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.2
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Braeden Campbell recorded 4 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions4023
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide8036
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS9132
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows14061
16 Aug 24Essendon13265
9 Aug 24Collingwood11054
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs12014
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions13032
13 Jul 24North Melbourne13043
7 Jul 24St Kilda13153
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 1.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 13.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Marks 1.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Braeden Campbell is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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