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AFL

Braeden Campbell

Sydney Swans

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -244 (1.41)
+0.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney
Sat 2 Aug, 6:15AM
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
12.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Braeden Campbell is poised to shine in this matchup against Essendon based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 12.3 disposals and a consistent L5 average of 11 disposals in home games, Campbell's performance is expected to exceed the set line of 9.5. His strong metrics in kicks (6.8) and metres gained (189.8) further support this bet. Additionally, Campbell's historical performance against Essendon with an average of 14 disposals in the last five games adds confidence. With a solid 70.9% implied probability and his current hit streak of 2 in home games, Campbell is primed to surpass the disposals line, making the Over 9.5 a favorable choice for this AFL player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 68.0% (34/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 25 Essendon Bombers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Essendon Bombers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
13 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending
13 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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