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AFL

Braeden Campbell

Sydney Swans

Value call

Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: over 1.5 marks that pays $125 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
3.1 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 69.7% · before adjusting for past results 81.8% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap -10.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST
Braeden Campbell
over 1.5 marks
Marks Over 1.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.50 Odds-400
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Braeden Campbell is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 80%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 9:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks81.8%69.7%80.0%1.44+1.8%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Braeden Campbell Over 1.5 Marks (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

For Braeden Campbell to get over 1.5 marks tonight, he needs to connect well with his teammates. The Sydney Swans have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games and averaging over 57 points before half-time. This shows they are moving the ball effectively, which should give Campbell plenty of chances to take marks. Fremantle is also strong, winning 7 of their last 10, but their average of only 44.6 points before half-time suggests they might struggle to keep up with Sydney's pace. The risk here is that both teams are performing well, making it a tough contest. However, with Sydney's current form, Campbell is likely to find those opportunities he needs.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Braeden Campbell averaged 10.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

10.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.2
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Braeden Campbell recorded 4 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions4023
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide8036
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS9132
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows14061
16 Aug 24Essendon13265
9 Aug 24Collingwood11054
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs12014
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions13032
13 Jul 24North Melbourne13043
7 Jul 24St Kilda13153
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 1.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 13.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 18.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Marks — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Braeden Campbell (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Braeden Campbell is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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