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AFL

Chad Warner

Sydney Swans

+12.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -175 (1.57)
+12.8% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 9 Aug, 6:15AM
Model Probability
76.5%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+12.8%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Chad Warner (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Chad Warner is a solid bet to score anytime against the Brisbane Lions due to his recent form and matchup history. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 0.5 goals, Warner is likely to capitalize on his opportunities. His involvement in scoring plays, indicated by a 5-score involvement average, coupled with a respectable goal accuracy of 28.0%, suggests he is in a good position to snag a goal. Despite a modest average of 1.8 shots at goal in away games, Warner's consistency and the model's prediction of 1.1 goals with a 12.8% edge make this bet on Warner scoring over 0.5 goals a favorable choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 56.0% (28/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -175 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending

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