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AFL

Chad Warner

Sydney Swans

+14.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -217 (1.46)
+14.8% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Model Probability
83.3%
Implied Probability
68.5%
Model Edge
+14.8%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Chad Warner (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Chad Warner from the Sydney Swans is a prime candidate for hitting over 0.5 goals in their clash against Port Adelaide Power. Warner has been on a scoring spree lately, averaging 1.4 goals in his last five away games. His accuracy might hover around 35.2%, but with 3.4 shots at goal per game, he's a constant threat inside 50. With an average of 6.2 inside 50s and 7.6 score involvements per game, Warner is actively involved in setting up and finishing attacking plays. Facing Port Adelaide, who he's previously scored against, Warner's form and ability to impact the scoreboard make him a solid bet to split the middle at least once in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 Sydney Swans @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals 19.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 19.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Goals Pending

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About This Player

Chad Warner (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Chad Warner is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.8% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.