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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Jordon is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 88%, edge +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 2:47PM UTC
AFL

James Jordon

Sydney Swans

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+2.4% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
17.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.9% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +2.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.9%88.5%1.10+2.4%

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AI Analysis

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James Jordon (Sydney Swans) Over 10.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable midfielders, James Jordon of the Sydney Swans stands out as a consistent performer. In his last five home games, Jordon has been a midfield maestro, averaging 16.4 disposals, well above the set line of 10.5. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he typically thrives against with an average of 15.3 disposals in their recent matchups, Jordon is poised to shine once again. With his exceptional disposal efficiency of 82.7% and an impressive recent hit rate of 8 consecutive games at home, Jordon is in prime form to surpass the line. His ability to find space, create opportunities, and impact the game make him a strong bet to rack up the possessions needed to secure the Over 10.5 disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

James Jordon averaged 14.7 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

14.7
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.3
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), James Jordon recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13054
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide10023
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS12046
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows18014
16 Aug 24Essendon15042
9 Aug 24Collingwood8125
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide7041
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs10032
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16033
13 Jul 24North Melbourne18152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 12.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending

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About This Player

James Jordon (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Jordon is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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