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James Jordon

Sydney Swans

Value call

James Jordon (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $167 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
17.1 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 70.1% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +10.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 4:15 PM AEST
James Jordon
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.70 Odds-149
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Jordon is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:20PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.1%—59.9%1.43+10.2%

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AI Analysis

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James Jordon (Sydney Swans) Over 14.5 Disposals (-149)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing James Jordon to surpass 14.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Sydney and Port Adelaide, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five home games, Jordon has been a midfield maestro, averaging a healthy 16.4 disposals, comfortably exceeding the 14.5 line. His ability to find the footy in contested situations (4.8 avg) and efficiently distribute it (82.7% disposal efficiency) bodes well for meeting or even exceeding expectations. Facing Port Adelaide, a team against whom he has averaged 15.3 disposals over his last five encounters, Jordon's recent form of 12.4 disposals overall further boosts his chances. With a model predicting 17.1 disposals and a solid edge of 10.2%, the odds are in our favor for Jordon to continue his midfield dominance and snag this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

James Jordon averaged 14.7 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

14.7
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.3
Marks
3.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), James Jordon recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13054
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide10023
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS12046
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows18014
16 Aug 24Essendon15042
9 Aug 24Collingwood8125
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide7041
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs10032
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16033
13 Jul 24North Melbourne18152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -149 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 13.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 12.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

James Jordon (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Jordon is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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