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Model picks & player props
NHL
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Indoor
Tue 7 Apr 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 5 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators and backs Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $144.

4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tampa Bay Lightning
with a 1.5-goal head start
Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$14.41Best price-227
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win79.4%
The price says69.4%

The model graded 5 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $144 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 7 Apr 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Canadian Tire Centre.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 High79% chance -227
Spread Members only High73% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High99% chance Members
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 57% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators last met on Tue 7 Apr 2026: Ottawa Senators won 6-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1.5
-227
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,820+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ottawa SenatorsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ottawa SenatorsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Victor Hedman DDay-to-day
  • Zemgus Girgensons CDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut

Ottawa Senators

  • Linus Ullmark GOut
  • Thomas Chabot DOut
  • William Eklund LWOut
Availability updated Oct 25, 1:09PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Linus Ullmark Ottawa Senators Saves

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Ottawa SenatorsNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G3.0Shots/G28.6vs Lightning3-2

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning +1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — recent results

Ottawa Senators have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 of their last 5.

Ottawa Senators — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–4NYRHome
L2–6SJHome
W5–1FLAHome
L1–3PHIAway
W2–1NYIHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5UTAAway
L3–6COLAway
W6–2VGKAway
W4–2VANHome
W4–3SEAHome

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Ottawa Senators won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateOttawa SenatorsTampa Bay LightningWinner
Apr 762Ottawa Senators
Mar 2824Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Ottawa Senators
PlayerStatus
Linus Ullmark GOUT
Thomas Chabot DOUT
William Eklund LWOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Victor Hedman DDAY-TO-DAY
Zemgus Girgensons CDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators — model preview

Winning bets for Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Linus Ullmark. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning : Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tuesday night's matchup between Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning is shaping up to be a real treat. The Lightning have been striking with precision recently, boasting a 4-1 record in their last 5 away games, and outperforming the Senators in terms of average goals with 1.8 compared to the Senators' 0.8. Meanwhile, the Senators have been struggling to keep the puck out of their net, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game at home. Despite their commendable 4-1 track record against the Lightning, the Senators' recent performance suggests that they'll be hard-pressed to replicate this success. The Lightning, on the other hand, seem poised to extend their winning streak. Betting on the Lightning to cover the 1.5 puck line seems like a smart move given their superior form and scoring prowess.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Senators, or as Senators vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 7 April 2026 at Canadian Tire Centre. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Tue 7 Apr 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators: the Senators won 6-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
7 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators6–2Ottawa Senators
28 Mar 2026Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–2Tampa Bay Lightning

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