Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 6 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators and backs Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $144.

NHL
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Indoor
Tue 7 Apr 2026, 11:00PM
5
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 Spread -227

The model graded 6 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $144 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 7 Apr 2026, 11:00PM at Canadian Tire Centre.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win79.4%
The price says69.4%
Best price-227
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 High79% chance -227
Spread Members only High73% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High99% chance Members
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 57% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators last met on Tue 7 Apr 2026: Ottawa Senators won 6-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1.5
-227
+ 4 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 5 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 60,399+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ottawa SenatorsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ottawa SenatorsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Emil Lilleberg DDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut
  • Dominic James COut

Ottawa Senators

  • Andre Burakovsky LWDay-to-day
  • Jake Sanderson DDay-to-day
  • Blake Montgomery LWOut
  • Kurtis MacDermid LWOut
  • Artem Zub DOut
Availability updated Oct 4, 12:31PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Linus Ullmark Ottawa Senators Saves

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Ottawa SenatorsNo line posted
1-4last 5 record
GF/G1.6GA/G2.6Shots/G27.8vs Lightning5-0

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning +1.5No line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G1.6GA/G2.0Shots/G31.2vs Senators4-1

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators — 5 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — recent results

Ottawa Senators have won 2 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5.

Ottawa Senators — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2TORAway
W4–3MTLHome
L2–4MTLAway
L2–4TORHome
L1–6TORAway
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1WSHHome
L1–5NYRAway
W3–2FLAAway
L3–5FLAHome
L2–3NSHAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Ottawa Senators won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateOttawa SenatorsTampa Bay LightningWinner
Apr 762Ottawa Senators
Mar 2824Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Ottawa Senators
PlayerStatus
Andre Burakovsky LWDAY-TO-DAY
Jake Sanderson DDAY-TO-DAY
Blake Montgomery LWOUT
Kurtis MacDermid LWOUT
Artem Zub DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Emil Lilleberg DDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT
Dominic James COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators — model preview

Winning bets for Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Linus Ullmark. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning : Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tuesday night's matchup between Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning is shaping up to be a real treat. The Lightning have been striking with precision recently, boasting a 4-1 record in their last 5 away games, and outperforming the Senators in terms of average goals with 1.8 compared to the Senators' 0.8. Meanwhile, the Senators have been struggling to keep the puck out of their net, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game at home. Despite their commendable 4-1 track record against the Lightning, the Senators' recent performance suggests that they'll be hard-pressed to replicate this success. The Lightning, on the other hand, seem poised to extend their winning streak. Betting on the Lightning to cover the 1.5 puck line seems like a smart move given their superior form and scoring prowess.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Senators, or as Senators vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 7 April 2026 at Canadian Tire Centre. The model has generated 5 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Tue 7 Apr 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators: the Senators won 6-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
7 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators6–2Ottawa Senators
28 Mar 2026Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–2Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.