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Model picks & player props
Ottawa Senators
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 26, 2:37PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Sat 28 Mar 2026, 5:00PM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Ottawa Senators 1.5 (Puck Line)
For Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL), model win probability 72.7%, fair odds 1.38, book price -175, model edge +9.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 28 Mar 2026, 5:00PM at Benchmark International Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Ottawa Senators
+1.5
-175
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Ottawa SenatorsPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ottawa SenatorsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Ottawa Senators

  • Artem Zub DOut
  • Jake Sanderson DOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Artem Zub, Jake Sanderson and Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineOttawa Senators +1.5No line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Mar 26 Spread Ottawa Senators +1.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 28 March 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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