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AFL

Greater Western Sydney Giants

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Essendon Bombers (Away) Sun 19 Jul, 6:40AM Marvel Stadium, Melbourne · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 16, 11:07AM UTC
Answer
The Greater Western Sydney Giants model is leaning the under in the Total Points Q1 market vs Essendon Bombers.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Points Q1
Under 44.5
Odds: -114
Model prob: 61.8%
+8.6%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total PointsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Team Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points H1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q3Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q1Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q2Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Points Q4Probability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 8 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Model Performance History

All results →
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats Head to Head Greater Western Sydney Giants ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers Head to Head Greater Western Sydney Giants ✓ HIT

Betting angles

7 markets live
Total pointsvs Essendon Bombers177.5 -112+19.2% edge
72%under %
160.8proj. total pts
Model pickUnder 177.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total points: the model's pick is Under 177.5 at -112, a 72% under % (+19.2% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

Total 1st halfvs Essendon Bombers88.5 -116+11.8% edge
66%under %
80.4proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total 1st half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -116, a 66% under % (+11.8% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

Total 2nd halfvs Essendon Bombers88.5 -112+12.7% edge
66%under %
80.4proj. half pts
Model pickUnder 88.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total 2nd half: the model's pick is Under 88.5 at -112, a 66% under % (+12.7% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q1vs Essendon Bombers44.5 -114+8.6% edge
62%under %
40.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 44.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total Q1: the model's pick is Under 44.5 at -114, a 62% under % (+8.6% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q2vs Essendon Bombers43.5 -120+4.5% edge
59%under %
40.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 43.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total Q2: the model's pick is Under 43.5 at -120, a 59% under % (+4.5% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q3vs Essendon Bombers45.5 -118+10.4% edge
64%under %
40.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 45.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total Q3: the model's pick is Under 45.5 at -118, a 64% under % (+10.4% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

Total Q4vs Essendon Bombers43.5 -122+4.2% edge
59%under %
40.2proj. quarter pts
Model pickUnder 43.5PF/G84.0PA/G86.2L50-5

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Essendon Bombers on Jul 19 - Total Q4: the model's pick is Under 43.5 at -122, a 59% under % (+4.2% edge). Greater Western Sydney Giants are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

GWS GIANTS are averaging 84.0 points for and 86.2 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
84.0
Points For / G
86.2
Points Against / G
-2.2
Margin / G
12.4
Goals / G
9.6
Behinds / G
51.2
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Greater Western Sydney Giants are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Essendon Bombers on Sunday 19 July at Marvel Stadium. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Greater Western Sydney Giants.