Callum Mills (Sydney Swans) Under 23.5 Disposals (-104)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Callum Mills is likely to fall short of 23.5 disposals against St Kilda based on his recent performances. His L5 average disposals away (21.8) and against St Kilda (18) suggest he may struggle to exceed the line. Additionally, his recent turnover average (3.2) and lower contested possession rate (5.6) might limit his overall disposals. Despite a solid L5 disposals average (23.4), Mills' statistical trends, including his lower disposal efficiency away (83.0%), indicate potential difficulty reaching the line. The model's prediction of 21.1 disposals also supports this under bet, with a calculated edge of 17.3%. Considering these factors, wagering on Mills to stay under 23.5 disposals could be a strategic move for this matchup.