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AFL

Callum Mills

Sydney Swans

+0.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -455 (1.22)
+0.0% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Model Probability
82.0%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+0.0%
Predicted Value
23.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Callum Mills (Sydney Swans) Over 18.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Callum Mills to go Over 18.5 disposals against Port Adelaide, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Mills has been a midfield stalwart, averaging 23 disposals in his last five away games with a stellar 83.7% disposal efficiency. Impressively, he's hit an average of 24.5 disposals in his last five matchups against Port Adelaide, showcasing his consistency. With a current hit streak of 3 away games and a flawless 8 out of 8 hit rate overall, Mills is in fine form. His ability to find the footy in contested situations (4 avg) and cover ground efficiently (455.8 meters gained avg) gives him a strong chance to surpass the 18.5 disposals mark. Expect Mills to be instrumental in the Swans' midfield battle, making him a solid pick to back for this player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 22.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Callum Mills (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Callum Mills is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.