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The latest Bet Better model pick for Errol Gulden is Over 9.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:18PM UTC
AFL

Errol Gulden

Sydney Swans

Value call

Errol Gulden (Sydney Swans) has one live pick today: Handballs Over 9.5 that pays $139 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Handballs Over 9.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
12.7 Handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.4% · before adjusting for past results 74.0% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap -9.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs74.0%62.4%71.9%1.60+2.0%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Errol Gulden Over 9.5 Handballs (-256)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

For Errol Gulden to get over 9.5 handballs tonight, he needs to have a busy game moving the ball around. Our numbers show he has a solid chance based on how well he has been playing lately. He's been involved in a lot of plays, and the figures suggest he won't have much trouble finding teammates to pass to. Fremantle has been showing some weaknesses in their defense, which could give Gulden more opportunities. However, if the game stays close, he might not get as many chances as expected. Still, with the way he's been performing, we're feeling good about this pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Errol Gulden averaged 27.1 disposals, 0.6 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

27.1
Disposals
0.6
Goals
5.6
Marks
3.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Errol Gulden recorded 24 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Brisbane Lions24054
20 Sep 24Port Adelaide27063
7 Sep 24GWS GIANTS23034
24 Aug 24Adelaide Crows24243
16 Aug 24Essendon25062
9 Aug 24Collingwood14115
3 Aug 24Port Adelaide25045
28 Jul 24Western Bulldogs27154
21 Jul 24Brisbane Lions27174
13 Jul 24North Melbourne41083
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Handballs 9.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 2.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 28.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Fantasy — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Fantasy — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Errol Gulden (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Errol Gulden is Over 9.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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