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The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan McDonald is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +14.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Logan McDonald

Sydney Swans

+14.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -286 (1.35)
+14.4% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 9:40AM
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Model Probability
88.5%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+14.4%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals88.5%—74.1%1.13+14.4%

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AI Analysis

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Logan McDonald (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-286)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to Friday's clash between the Sydney Swans and the Adelaide Crows at the SCG, the spotlight shines brightly on young gun Logan McDonald. With an impressive recent streak of 8 straight games hitting the mark, McDonald has been on fire. Averaging 2 goals per game in his last 5 home fixtures, he's been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. His 70% goal accuracy and 5.6 score involvements per game demonstrate his impact within the Swans' attacking setup. Facing the Crows, whom he's netted an average of 2.5 goals against in his last 5 home matchups, the stage is set for McDonald to snag another goal and keep his scoring streak alive. All signs point to Logan McDonald hitting Over 0.5 goals with confidence in this upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.3avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.3 · hi 4 · lo 0
4110103120

Logan McDonald has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -286 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Logan McDonald (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan McDonald is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.4% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans on Friday 17 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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