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The latest Bet Better model pick for Riley Bice is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +1.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Riley Bice

Sydney Swans

+1.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.8% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
89.5%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.8%
Predicted Value
22.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.5%—87.7%1.12+1.8%

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AI Analysis

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Riley Bice (Sydney Swans) Over 16.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable midfield performers, Riley Bice is the man to watch for the Sydney Swans in their clash against the Western Bulldogs. Bice has been on a tear lately, racking up an impressive average of 20.2 disposals in his last five home games. His ability to find space and move the ball efficiently (77.6% disposalefficiency) makes him a key cog in the Swans' midfield machine. What's more, in his recent encounters with the Bulldogs, Bice has maintained an average of 18 disposals, showing he can step up when facing this particular opponent. With his consistency shining through in both contested and uncontested possessions, Bice is primed to meet and exceed the 16.5 disposals line set for him. Bet confidently on Bice to continue his stellar form and snag those crucial possessions at the SCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Riley Bice - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 16.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 17.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 18.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Riley Bice (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Riley Bice is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans on Friday 3 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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