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AFL

Josh Rachele

Adelaide Crows

+0.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -500 (1.20)
+0.8% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Thu 11 Jun, 9:30AM
Model Probability
84.1%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+0.8%
Predicted Value
16.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want a bloke who's as reliable as a veteran fullback under pressure. Josh Rachele of the Adelaide Crows fits that bill perfectly. In his last five away games, Rachele has been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 20 disposals with a disposal efficiency of 71.9%. Facing the Western Bulldogs, a team he's historically performed well against, with an average of 12.5 disposals in their last five encounters, Rachele is poised to shine. With a current hit streak of 5 away games hitting the mark and an overall hit streak of 12, Rachele is in red-hot form. So, when Rachele takes the field at Marvel Stadium, expect him to rack up the possessions and easily surpass the 11.5 disposal line set by the bookies. He's a safe bet to snag those overs!

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Josh Rachele is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 11 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.