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AFL

Josh Rachele

Adelaide Crows

+0.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -500 (1.20)
+0.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
83.8%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+0.5%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Rachele is set to light up Adelaide Oval as the Crows take on the Saints, making him a prime target for the 'Over 0.5 Goals' prop bet. Rachele's recent form is red hot, with an impressive average of 1.8 goals over the last five games, including a strong 1.2 goal average against St Kilda. His accuracy is on point, hitting the scoreboard 83.3% of the time. With a knack for making an impact in the forward line, averaging 3.6 score involvements and 2.2 shots on goal per game, Rachele is in a goal-scoring groove. Add in his current hit streak of 4 at home and 6 overall, and it's clear why the odds favor him snagging a goal in this matchup. Bet on Rachele to bag one and lead the Crows to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Josh Rachele is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.