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AFL

Darcy Fogarty

Adelaide Crows

+2.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -250 (1.40)
+2.7% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+2.7%
Predicted Value
12.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Darcy Fogarty (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Darcy Fogarty to go Over 9.5 disposals against the Geelong Cats, the numbers paint a promising picture. In his last five away games, Fogarty has been a consistent contributor, averaging 11.4 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 64.0%. His ability to cover the ground is evident with an average of 212 meters gained per game. Facing the Cats, he has historically performed well, averaging 11 disposals against them. With his recent form showing an average of 11.8 disposals overall, Fogarty seems poised to surpass the 9.5 mark. His current hit rate of 8 out of the last 9 games further supports the case for backing him to have a busy day on the field. So, expect Fogarty to be in the thick of the action, racking up the touches and helping your ticket snag a win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 33.3% (2/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Fogarty (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (2/6). The latest model pick for Darcy Fogarty is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.