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AFL

Luke Pedlar

Adelaide Crows

+13.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -143 (1.70)
+13.7% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+13.7%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Luke Pedlar (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-143)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who can snag a goal in the upcoming clash between the Geelong Cats and the Adelaide Crows, Luke Pedlar stands out as a promising pick for the Over 0.5 mark. Over his last five away games, Pedlar has been a consistent threat in front of goal, averaging 1.2 goals per game. With a solid goal accuracy of 66.7% in away matches and an average of 1.6 shots at goal per game, he's shown that he's not afraid to take his chances when inside 50. Moreover, Pedlar's recent form against the Cats has been impressive, averaging 2 goals per game in his last five encounters with them. With a current hit streak of 2 in away games and a strong overall hit rate, Pedlar has the stats to back up his goal-scoring potential. Betting on Pedlar to go Over 0.5 goals could prove to be a smart play given his recent performance and historical success against Geelong.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -143 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Luke Pedlar (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Luke Pedlar is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.