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AFL

Ben Keays

Adelaide Crows

+18.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -179 (1.56)
+18.4% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
82.5%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+18.4%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Ben Keays of the Adelaide Crows stands out for Thursday's clash against the Geelong Cats. Keays has been on a goal-scoring tear lately, averaging a solid 1 goal per game over his last 5 appearances. His recent performance on the road has been particularly impressive, with 1 goal per game on average. Moreover, Keays has been highly involved in his team's scoring plays, boasting an average of 5.6 score involvements per game away from home. Facing the Cats, who he has historically found the back of the net against, Keays' goal-scoring prowess makes the Over 0.5 goals player prop a smart play. With his current form and involvement in Adelaide's attacking setups, betting on Keays to hit the scoreboard is a calculated move with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -179 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending

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About This Player

Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Ben Keays is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.