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AFL

Ben Keays

Adelaide Crows

+3.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -370 (1.27)
+3.8% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
82.5%
Implied Probability
78.7%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Ben Keays. The Adelaide Oval is set for a showdown as the Adelaide Crows host the St Kilda Saints, and all eyes are on Keays to light up the scoreboard. Over his last five home games, Keays has been making his mark. Averaging 0.8 goals per game, with 2 shots at goal and 3.8 score involvements on average, he's been a key figure in the Crows' forward line. Facing St Kilda, a team he's found the back of the net against, Keays is in a prime position to snag a goal. With a goal accuracy hovering around 30% in his recent outings, the odds are in his favor to split the middle at least once. Backing Keays to go over 0.5 goals feels like a smart play considering his recent form and the matchup at hand. Let's ride the Keays train to goal-scoring success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -179 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Ben Keays is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.