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The latest Bet Better model pick for Izak Rankine is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 59%, the price says 69%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:55AM UTC
AFL

Izak Rankine

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Marks Over 3.5 that pays $144 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 3.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
59 in 100
Predicted
4.8 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.8% · before adjusting for past results 70.4% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap -10.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks70.4%58.8%69.4%1.70+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Izak Rankine Over 3.5 Marks (-227)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds of Izak Rankine getting over 3.5 marks in the game against the Adelaide Crows are looking pretty good at -227. Our numbers show that Rankine has been playing well, with a high average of contested marks and score launches recently, which means he's getting a lot of chances to grab the ball and make an impact. However, the risk is that the Brisbane Lions and the Adelaide Crows are pretty evenly matched, so it could be a tighter game than expected. Still, with Rankine's strong recent performance, this bet has a solid shot at hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Izak Rankine averaged 18.0 disposals, 1.9 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

18.0
Disposals
1.9
Goals
3.2
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Izak Rankine recorded 8 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide8213
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs15111
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16224
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS27272
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans18264
18 May 24Collingwood30124
12 May 24Brisbane Lions24324
2 May 24Port Adelaide11333
27 Apr 24North Melbourne17452
19 Apr 24Essendon12126
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks 3.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 28.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 24.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Izak Rankine is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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