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AFL

Izak Rankine

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: under 28.5 disposals that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
24.9 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.7% · before adjusting for past results 75.3% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +8.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Izak Rankine
under 28.5 disposals
Disposals Under 28.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.00 Odds-125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Izak Rankine is Under 28.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:08PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.3%63.7%55.6%1.96+19.7%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Izak Rankine Under 28.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Izak Rankine needs to have fewer than 29 disposals for this bet to win tonight. The Brisbane Lions are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and dominating their matches by an average of over 31 points. This strong performance likely means they will keep the pressure on, which could limit Rankine's chances to rack up disposals. On the other hand, the Adelaide Crows have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10, but they haven't been as consistent as Brisbane recently. While both teams have similar scoring before half-time, the Lions' defense might make it tough for Rankine to get the ball often. The risk here is that Rankine could still have a breakout game, but the Lions' strong form gives us a good shot at this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Izak Rankine averaged 18.0 disposals, 1.9 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

18.0
Disposals
1.9
Goals
3.2
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Izak Rankine recorded 8 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide8213
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs15111
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16224
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS27272
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans18264
18 May 24Collingwood30124
12 May 24Brisbane Lions24324
2 May 24Port Adelaide11333
27 Apr 24North Melbourne17452
19 Apr 24Essendon12126
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 28.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks 3.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 24.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Izak Rankine is Under 28.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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