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AFL

Wayne Milera

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: over 21.5 disposals that pays $165 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
24.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.4% · before adjusting for past results 70.5% · the book's price implies 60.6% · gap -6.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Wayne Milera
over 21.5 disposals
Disposals Over 21.5 -154 (1.65) · $100→$165
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.50 Odds-154
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:00PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.5%54.4%60.6%1.84+9.9%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Wayne Milera Over 21.5 Disposals (-154)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Wayne Milera has been playing well lately, showing solid form with his recent performances. He's been getting a good number of clearances and assists, which tells us he's involved in the game a lot. This makes the bet on him to get over 21.5 disposals look promising, especially since our numbers suggest he has a good chance of hitting that mark. The main risk in this bet is that both teams are closely matched, so the game could be tight with less opportunity for Milera to rack up disposals. Still, given how he's been playing and the way he contributes on the field, it's worth taking a shot on this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Wayne Milera averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 3 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
4.7
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (29 Mar 24 vs Fremantle), Wayne Milera recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
29 Mar 24Fremantle13041
22 Mar 24Geelong Cats14052
16 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS19053
26 Aug 23West Coast Eagles19033
19 Aug 23Sydney Swans21133
12 Aug 23Brisbane Lions28083
5 Aug 23Gold Coast SUNS19021
29 Jul 23Port Adelaide32051
23 Jul 23Melbourne19042
15 Jul 23GWS GIANTS21054
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 18.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Kicks 13.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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