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The latest Bet Better model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:53AM UTC
AFL

Wayne Milera

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 17.5 that pays $114 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
24.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.8% · before adjusting for past results 89.5% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap -14.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.5%72.8%87.7%1.37+1.8%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Wayne Milera Over 17.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Wayne Milera has been playing really well lately, and he's been getting plenty of chances to grab the ball. Our numbers show that he's been making about half a goal assist each game and has been involved in more clearances than usual. This form makes us think he can easily rack up over 17.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the Gabba. The biggest risk is that both teams are pretty close in skill, which could affect how much time Milera has to get those disposals. Still, with the way he's performing right now, this bet makes sense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Wayne Milera averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 3 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
4.7
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (29 Mar 24 vs Fremantle), Wayne Milera recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
29 Mar 24Fremantle13041
22 Mar 24Geelong Cats14052
16 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS19053
26 Aug 23West Coast Eagles19033
19 Aug 23Sydney Swans21133
12 Aug 23Brisbane Lions28083
5 Aug 23Gold Coast SUNS19021
29 Jul 23Port Adelaide32051
23 Jul 23Melbourne19042
15 Jul 23GWS GIANTS21054
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Kicks 13.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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