Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 83%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 11, 2:27AM UTC
AFL
Wayne Milera
Adelaide Crows
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 18.5
-500 (1.20) · $100→$120
+2.6% Edge
Adelaide Crows
@
Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
86 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 85.9% · the book's price implies 83.3% · gap +2.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 85.9% | 68.4% | 83.3% | 1.46 | +2.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Wayne Milera Over 18.5 Disposals (-500)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Wayne Milera has been playing really well lately, showing he can get plenty of disposals on the field. Our numbers suggest he's likely to grab over 18.5 disposals in this game against the Brisbane Lions. He's been making more clearances and goal assists than usual, which means he's involved in the game a lot.
The biggest concern here is that the Brisbane Lions will be a strong opponent, and they can put pressure on players. Still, Milera's recent form and the strong backing from our numbers make this a solid pick. He's got a good chance to hit that mark at the Gabba.
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Wayne Milera's lines for Sat 12 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Disposals 18.5
-114 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games
Wayne Milera's disposals line is 18.5, best over price -114 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.
Disposals 17.5
-114 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games
Wayne Milera's disposals line is 17.5, best over price -114 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.
Fantasy 74.5
Wayne Milera's fantasy line is 74.5.
Marks 3.5
Wayne Milera's marks line is 3.5.
Fantasy 79.5
Wayne Milera's fantasy line is 79.5.
Disposals 20.5
-114 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games
Wayne Milera's disposals line is 20.5, best over price -114 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.
Disposals 19.5
-114 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games
Wayne Milera's disposals line is 19.5, best over price -114 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.
Kicks 13.5
Wayne Milera's kicks line is 13.5.
Season averages (2024)
Wayne Milera averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 3 games in 2024.
Hit-rate ladder: Disposals
Wayne Milera has cleared 15.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.
o15.5100%
o16.5100%
o18.5100%
o20.580%
o22.570%
o24.540%
o26.530%
o27.510%
o29.510%
o31.510%
o33.50%
o35.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Wayne Milera is averaging 23.6 disposals per game over his last 5.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (29 Mar 24 vs Fremantle), Wayne Milera recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 29 Mar 24 | Fremantle | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 Mar 24 | Geelong Cats | 14 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 Mar 24 | Gold Coast SUNS | 19 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 26 Aug 23 | West Coast Eagles | 19 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 Aug 23 | Sydney Swans | 21 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 Aug 23 | Brisbane Lions | 28 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 5 Aug 23 | Gold Coast SUNS | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 29 Jul 23 | Port Adelaide | 32 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 23 Jul 23 | Melbourne | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 Jul 23 | GWS GIANTS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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