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The latest Bet Better model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
AFL

Wayne Milera

Adelaide Crows

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -455 (1.22)
+1.4% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 9:40AM
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Model Probability
83.3%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+1.4%
Predicted Value
25.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.3%—82.0%1.20+1.4%

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AI Analysis

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Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) Over 20.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Wayne Milera is looking like a prime candidate for the upcoming clash against the Sydney Swans. In his last five away games, Milera has been a possession magnet, averaging a solid 26.2 disposals. His ability to impact the game is evident, with an impressive Metres Gained average of 436. Facing the Swans, he's historically stepped up, averaging 15.7 disposals against them. With a current hit streak of 4 in away games and 5 overall, Milera is in fine form and poised to continue his consistent performance. The model's prediction of 25.3 disposals further boosts the confidence in this bet, making Wayne Milera a strong bet to surpass the 20.5 disposals line set by the bookmakers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.5avg disposals recent
Season best32
Disposals last 10avg 20.5 · hi 32 · lo 13
21193219282119191413

Wayne Milera has a disposals high of 32 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
17 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Disposals 19.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Wayne Milera is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans on Friday 17 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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