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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 71%, edge +5.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 7:49PM UTC
AFL

Callum Ah Chee

Adelaide Crows

+5.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+5.2% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
15.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.7% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +5.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.7%71.4%1.30+5.2%

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AI Analysis

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Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want someone who's not just reliable but also capable of turning up the heat when it matters most. Enter Callum Ah Chee of the Adelaide Crows. Ah Chee has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 15.6 disposals over his last five home games. But what really sets him apart is his consistency, boasting an impressive 100% hit rate in his last seven home games. Facing off against the Western Bulldogs, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 19.5 disposals in their last five encounters, Ah Chee is poised to shine once again. With the model predicting him to reach 15.1 disposals and the current line set at 11.5, backing Ah Chee to go over in the disposals market is a bet that just makes sense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Callum Ah Chee averaged 13.4 disposals, 1.0 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

13.4
Disposals
1.0
Goals
4.7
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Callum Ah Chee recorded 14 disposals and 4 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans14462
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats11332
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS17133
7 Sep 24Carlton8251
24 Aug 24Essendon13030
17 Aug 24Collingwood16040
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS13271
4 Aug 24St Kilda16272
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS18053
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans15142
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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