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The latest Bet Better model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +5.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 3:05PM UTC
AFL

Callum Ah Chee

Adelaide Crows

+5.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -244 (1.41)
+5.7% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.7%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+5.7%
Predicted Value
15.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.7%—70.9%1.30+5.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Callum Ah Chee for the Adelaide Crows is a prime candidate. Ah Chee's recent form is red-hot, with an average of 15.6 disposals in his last five home games, including a solid 19.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs. His efficiency is also on point, boasting a 67.6% average. With a knack for finding space and covering ground effectively (288.8 meters gained on average), Ah Chee is a reliable ball winner. His consistency is undeniable, hitting a streak of 7/7 at home and 8/8 overall. With the model predicting him to reach 15.1 disposals, Ah Chee looks poised to surpass the 11.5 line comfortably. Trust in Ah Chee to keep feeding the Crows' attack this Friday at the Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 11.5
11.4avg disposals L5
Home13.2vs Richmond12Season best20
O 9.590%
O 10.590%
O 11.570%
O 12.560%
O 13.550%
O 14.540%
Game log vs line (O 11.5)avg 14.1 · hi 18 · lo 8
1518161316138171114

Callum Ah Chee has gone over 11.5 disposals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 11.4 disposals, best 20).

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1avg goals L5
Home0.6vs Richmond0.8Season best4
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)avg 1.5 · hi 4 · lo 0
1022002134

Callum Ah Chee has gone over 0.5 goals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1 goals, best 4).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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