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The latest Bet Better model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +8.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 9:50AM UTC
AFL

Callum Ah Chee

Adelaide Crows

+8.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -164 (1.61)
+8.0% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
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Model Probability
70.1%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
15.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.1%—62.1%1.43+8.0%

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AI Analysis

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Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 12.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to surpass a disposal line, you want someone in form and hungry for the footy. Callum Ah Chee fits the bill perfectly. In his last five home games, Ah Chee has been a magnet for the ball, averaging a solid 15.6 disposals. Facing the Western Bulldogs, a team he's historically performed well against, with a robust 19.5 average disposals in their recent encounters, Ah Chee should thrive. His recent 4-game hit streak at home and impressive overall hit rate of 7 out of 8 further underpin his consistency. With the model predicting him to hit around 15.1 disposals, comfortably above the line of 12.5, backing Ah Chee to rack up the possessions is a smart bet for the Adelaide Crows clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
14.1avg disposals recent
Season best20
Disposals last 10avg 14.1 · hi 18 · lo 8
1518161316138171114

Callum Ah Chee has a disposals high of 20 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.5avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.5 · hi 4 · lo 0
1022002134

Callum Ah Chee has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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