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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 69%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:56AM UTC
AFL

Jake Soligo

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 14.5 that pays $144 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
18.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.8% · before adjusting for past results 78.1% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap -5.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals78.1%63.8%69.4%1.57+8.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Jake Soligo Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Soligo has been on a roll lately, showing solid form with his disposals. The numbers suggest he should easily go over 14.5 disposals in this game against the Brisbane Lions. He's been averaging a lot more than that, which makes this bet look pretty good. The only risk here is that the match could be closer than expected, making it tougher for him to get those extra touches. Still, with how well he's been playing, there's a strong chance he'll hit that mark at the Gabba.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jake Soligo averaged 22.0 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

22.0
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.6
Marks
3.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Jake Soligo recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans25043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide18045
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs19041
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats21134
28 Jul 24Hawthorn30004
19 Jul 24Essendon21044
13 Jul 24St Kilda25025
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16124
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS17026
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans19152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks 1.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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