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AFL

Jake Soligo

Adelaide Crows

+1.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.1% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jake Soligo hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against St Kilda at Adelaide Oval, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five home games, Soligo has been a midfield workhorse, averaging 14.4 disposals with a respectable 71.0% efficiency. Against St Kilda specifically, he's been even more prolific, boasting a 23.8 disposal average. Soligo's ability to find the ball in contested situations (6.4 avg) and create with his kicking (8.8 avg) makes him a key cog in Adelaide's engine room. With a model predicting him to hit 20.6 disposals and a tight 1.1% edge, backing Soligo to eclipse 14.5 disposals feels like a smart move for this showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 77.8% (7/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 15.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 77.8% (7/9). The latest model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.