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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 85%, implied 82%, edge +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:20PM UTC
AFL

Jake Soligo

Adelaide Crows

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -455 (1.22) · $100→$122
+2.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
20.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 84.5% · the book's price implies 82.0% · gap +2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals84.5%—82.0%1.18+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) Over 15.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Adelaide Crows and the St Kilda Saints, all eyes are on hometown hero Jake Soligo to shine on the field. Soligo's recent form at home showcases his ability to impact the game consistently. Over his last five home games, he's been a midfield powerhouse, averaging 14.4 disposals, well above the 15.5 line set for this game. Against St Kilda specifically, Soligo elevates his game, boasting an average of 23.8 disposals in their recent encounters. With a strong contested possessions average of 6.4 and an impressive disposal efficiency of 71.0%, Soligo is poised to not only meet but exceed expectations. Coupled with his knack for gaining meters and creating turnovers, Soligo presents a compelling case for hitting over 15.5 disposals. Trust in Soligo to control the midfield and snag those crucial possessions to secure the win for Adelaide.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jake Soligo averaged 22.0 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

22.0
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.6
Marks
3.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Jake Soligo recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans25043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide18045
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs19041
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats21134
28 Jul 24Hawthorn30004
19 Jul 24Essendon21044
13 Jul 24St Kilda25025
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16124
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS17026
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans19152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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