Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Jake Soligo

Adelaide Crows

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -213 (1.47)
+5.1% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.1%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+5.1%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.1%—68.0%1.37+5.1%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) Over 17.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, the numbers don't lie. Jake Soligo, the Adelaide Crows' midfield maestro, is set to shine on his home turf at Adelaide Oval against St Kilda Saints. Over his last five home games, Soligo has been a ball magnet, averaging a solid 14.4 disposals per match. Against St Kilda specifically, he's been even more prolific, notching up an average of 23.8 disposals. With an average disposal efficiency of 71.0% and the ability to gain valuable meters, Soligo is poised to surpass the 17.5 line comfortably. In a game where every possession counts, Soligo's playmaking prowess makes him a strong contender to hit the over and contribute significantly to the Crows' midfield dominance.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
21.1avg disposals recent
Season best31
Disposals last 10avg 21.1 · hi 30 · lo 16
19171625213021191825

Jake Soligo has a disposals high of 31 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 17.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 17.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks