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AFL

Jake Soligo

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: over 15.5 disposals that pays $165 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
18.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.5% · before adjusting for past results 71.9% · the book's price implies 60.6% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Jake Soligo
over 15.5 disposals
Disposals Over 15.5 -154 (1.65) · $100→$165
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.50 Odds-154
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:01PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%58.5%60.6%1.71+11.2%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Jake Soligo Over 15.5 Disposals (-154)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Soligo has been playing really well lately, and he's part of a solid Adelaide Crows team that has won 7 of their last 10 games. The Brisbane Lions are also on fire, winning 9 of their last 10, but Soligo has been getting plenty of opportunities to rack up disposals. Our numbers show he has a good chance of going over 15.5 disposals in this matchup. The game will be at Gabba, and both teams have been strong at getting the ball early, averaging around 50 points before half-time. But with Soligo's current momentum, he could easily hit that target.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jake Soligo averaged 22.0 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

22.0
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.6
Marks
3.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Jake Soligo recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans25043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide18045
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs19041
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats21134
28 Jul 24Hawthorn30004
19 Jul 24Essendon21044
13 Jul 24St Kilda25025
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16124
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS17026
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans19152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks 1.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 15.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Soligo is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.2% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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