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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachlan McAndrew is Over 2.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 80%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 30, 3:55PM UTC
AFL

Lachlan McAndrew

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Lachlan McAndrew (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Tackles Over 2.5 that pays $125 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Tackles Over 2.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 18°C (May 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
4.7 Tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 68.5% · before adjusting for past results 81.5% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap -11.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles81.5%68.5%80.0%1.46+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Lachlan McAndrew Over 2.5 Tackles (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The Brisbane Lions have been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games and dominating their opponents by an average of over 31 points. At home in the Gabba, they've been especially strong, making it tough for visitors like the Adelaide Crows. While the Crows also have a solid record, winning 7 of their last 10, they're up against a Lions team that's been scoring big before halftime, which might put pressure on everyone, including Lachlan McAndrew. Lachlan seems likely to rack up tackles, especially with the intensity of this matchup. The Crows have been competitive, but this game could get physical. The biggest risk here is that both teams have shown they can put up a fight, so it's not a guarantee. Still, with the way the Lions are playing, betting on Lachlan to get over 2.5 tackles feels like a good shot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Lachlan McAndrew - AFL Disposals market.

TacklesSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Lachlan McAndrew - AFL Tackles market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Tackles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lachlan McAndrew (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachlan McAndrew is Over 2.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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