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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachlan McAndrew is Over 2.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 81%, edge +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 9, 7:00AM UTC
AFL

Lachlan McAndrew

Adelaide Crows

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tackles Over 2.5 -417 (1.24) · $100→$124
+0.9% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 18°C (May 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
4.7 Tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.5% · the book's price implies 80.6% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles81.5%80.6%1.23+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Lachlan McAndrew Over 2.5 Tackles (-417)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Lachlan McAndrew is playing at the Gabba, which is a great spot for him to shine. Our numbers show he has a strong chance to have over 2.5 tackles in this game, with a solid rating that suggests he could really step up. He's been performing well, especially with the way the Brisbane Lions and Adelaide Crows play, and he's in a good place to make those tackles happen. One thing to keep in mind is that both teams are competitive, and sometimes that can make it tricky for players to rack up statistics. But with the way McAndrew has been going lately, he has a good shot at hitting that mark. It's worth a look if you're feeling hopeful about this matchup!

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Pick History & Track Record

Lachlan McAndrew's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Tackles 2.5

Lachlan McAndrew's tackles line is 2.5.

Disposals 9.5

Lachlan McAndrew's disposals line is 9.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Lachlan McAndrew has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.570%
o10.560%
o11.570%
o12.530%
o13.520%
o14.50%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Lachlan McAndrew is averaging 11.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.2
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Lachlan McAndrew (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachlan McAndrew is Over 2.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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