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Model picks & player props
Port Adelaide Power
VS
Adelaide Crows

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Outdoor
Sat 26 Jul 2025, 10:10AM
7
Game Picks
15
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Port Adelaide Power 29.5 (Spread)
For Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows (AFL), model win probability 71.1%, fair odds 1.41, book price -110, model edge +18.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 26 Jul 2025, 10:10AM at Adelaide Oval.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Port Adelaide Power
29.5
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Port Adelaide PowerSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Port Adelaide PowerHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Port Adelaide PowerSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Power

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Crows

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Joe Richards Port Adelaide Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Connor Rozee Port Adelaide Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Mitch Georgiades Port Adelaide Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jack Lukosius Port Adelaide Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jordan Dawson Adelaide Crows Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Taylor Walker. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power stats and odds.</p>

Taylor Walker (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-385)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Taylor Walker is in excellent form, averaging 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games with a solid goal accuracy of 46.7%. His recent performance against Port Adelaide at home, averaging 4.5 goals, further supports his scoring potential. With an average of 3.4 shots on goal and 6 score involvements per game, Walker is actively involved in Adelaide's attacking play. Considering his consistent goal-scoring record and the matchup data, betting on Walker to score anytime, with a model prediction of 1.5 goals, presents a strong opportunity. The model's edge of 9.5% and implied probability of 79.4% indicate a high likelihood of Walker snagging a goal in this game at Adelaide Oval.

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Izak Rankine is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the Adelaide vs. Port Adelaide matchup at home. With an average of 2 goals in his last 5 games and a solid 41.7% goal accuracy at home, Rankine has been consistently impactful in front of the big sticks. His ability to generate shots at goal (4 per game) and be involved in scores (8.2 score involvements) makes him a reliable scoring threat. Additionally, his recent performance against Port Adelaide, averaging 3 goals in their last 5 encounters, further supports this bet. Considering Rankine's form and the match dynamics, backing him to score anytime is a statistically sound choice.

Ben Keays (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben Keays is a solid bet to score anytime in the Adelaide Crows vs. Port Adelaide Power game due to his recent form. With an impressive average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent against whom he has scored 1 goal on average, Keays consistently gets involved in scoring opportunities with 7.4 score involvements per game. His accuracy of 76.0% at home, along with an average of 3 shots on goal, indicates he is a reliable finisher. Given the model's prediction of 1.3 goals for him and the 5.8% edge, the likelihood of Keays snagging a goal is high, making this bet on him scoring anytime a smart choice.

Wayne Milera (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Wayne Milera is poised to excel in the 'Player Disposals Over' market against Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. With a strong L5 average of 20.2 disposals per home game, including a dominant 32 disposals in recent matchups against the same opponent, Milera showcases consistency. His impressive metrics in contested possessions, handballs, kicks, and metres gained further support this bet. Additionally, boasting a solid hit rate and current streak, Milera's form indicates a high likelihood of surpassing the 14.5 disposal line. The model's favorable prediction, combined with his proven track record, suggests a high probability of success, making this bet on Wayne Milera Over 14.5 disposals a compelling choice.

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Izak Rankine is poised to shine in the upcoming game against Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. With a strong model prediction of 18.8 disposals, a 4.1% edge, and a solid hit streak, Rankine's recent form supports betting on him to exceed 14.5 disposals. His impressive L5 stats, including averaging 20.2 disposals in home games, highlight his consistency and ability to impact games. Additionally, his high disposalefficiency of 68.0% and 12.8 average kicks in L5 home games indicate his proficiency in possession retention and attacking plays. With his current hit streak and stellar performance metrics, Rankine is a reliable choice to surpass the 14.5 disposals line in this matchup.

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Max Michalanney is a reliable bet for Over 9.5 disposals. With a model prediction of 13.7 and a positive edge of 1.9%, his recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 17.4 disposals, well above the line. Additionally, facing Port Adelaide, he has a solid average of 11.6 disposals in their previous encounters. Michalanney's consistency is evident with a current hit streak of 5 and an impressive overall hit rate of 5/5. His ability to maintain possession (79.1% disposal efficiency) and contribute across various key stats like kicks (12 avg) and metres gained (341.8 avg) further strengthens the case for this bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 26 July 2025 at Adelaide Oval. The model has generated 7 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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