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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Keane is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +12.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:28PM UTC
AFL

Mark Keane

Adelaide Crows

+12.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -164 (1.61)
+12.3% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 11 Jun, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
74.4%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+12.3%
Predicted Value
16.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.4%—62.1%1.34+12.3%

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AI Analysis

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Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) Over 13.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark Keane is poised to be a pivotal figure when the Adelaide Crows clash with the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium. Keane's recent form on the road has been impressive, averaging 14.6 disposals over the last five away games, exceeding the 13.5 line. His average of 11.2 kicks and 3.4 handballs showcases his versatility and involvement in the play. With a strong disposal efficiency of 82.1% and an average of 276.4 meters gained per game, Keane is not only accumulating possessions but also making them count. Facing the Bulldogs, against whom he has previously averaged 16 disposals, Keane is primed to maintain his impact. Backed by his consistent performance and recent trends, taking the Over on Keane's disposals is a solid bet for the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.9avg disposals recent
Season best26
Disposals last 10avg 15.9 · hi 20 · lo 12
16141220141215182018

Mark Keane has a disposals high of 26 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 13.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 12.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Keane is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 11 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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