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AFL

Mark Keane

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: over 13.5 disposals that pays $156 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
16.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.2% · before adjusting for past results 74.2% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap -2.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Mark Keane
over 13.5 disposals
Disposals Over 13.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.60 Odds-179
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Keane is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:00PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%61.2%64.1%1.63+10.1%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Mark Keane Over 13.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark Keane has been on fire lately, and he's set to make a big impact against the Brisbane Lions. With the Lions winning 9 of their last 10 matches and scoring an impressive average of 49.9 points before half-time, there will be plenty of action on the field. Keane has a strong chance to go over 13.5 disposals as the game heats up. On the flip side, the Adelaide Crows have also been performing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The tight nature of the match could mean that Keane faces some tough competition. Still, with the Lions' high scoring and fast pace, he should get enough opportunities to rack up those disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Mark Keane averaged 16.8 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

16.8
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.4
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Mark Keane recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide18040
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs20060
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats18040
28 Jul 24Hawthorn15041
19 Jul 24Essendon12021
13 Jul 24St Kilda14002
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions20071
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS12061
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans14070
6 Jun 24Richmond16042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Keane is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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