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AFL

Mark Keane

Adelaide Crows

+2.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -769 (1.13)
+2.6% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 12 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
91.1%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
16.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark Keane is a solid bet for 'Player Disposals Over' with an average of 17.8 disposals in his last five home games, exceeding the set line. His recent form against Hawthorn also supports this, averaging 18 disposals in their previous encounters. With strong contested possessions (5.6 avg) and disposal efficiency (75.6% avg), Keane consistently impacts games. His current hit streak of 6 at home and 11 overall showcases his reliability in meeting or surpassing this line. Considering his consistent performance and the model's prediction of 16.2 disposals (with a 2.6% edge), betting on Keane exceeding 9.5 disposals against Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval seems a prudent choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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