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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Keane is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 54%, implied 68%, edge +6.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:21AM UTC
AFL

Mark Keane

Adelaide Crows

+6.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+6.3% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
16.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.3% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +6.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.3%53.8%68.0%1.86+6.3%

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AI Analysis

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Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) Over 13.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Adelaide Crows and the Greater Western Sydney Giants, all signs point to Mark Keane shining bright on the field. Keane's recent form, especially in his last five home games, showcases an impressive average of 15.6 disposals, comfortably surpassing the projected line of 13.5. His ability to read the game with an average of 7 intercepts and cover significant ground with 258.6 metres gained per game makes him a pivotal figure in Adelaide's midfield. Facing the Giants, against whom he has averaged 11.5 disposals in their previous encounters, Keane is primed to dictate the tempo. With a solid hit rate and a knack for finding the footy, backing Keane to eclipse the 13.5 disposals mark is a bet brimming with potential value.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Mark Keane averaged 16.8 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

16.8
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.4
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Mark Keane recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide18040
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs20060
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats18040
28 Jul 24Hawthorn15041
19 Jul 24Essendon12021
13 Jul 24St Kilda14002
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions20071
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS12061
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans14070
6 Jun 24Richmond16042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Mark Keane (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Keane is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 22 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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