Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Borlase is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:17PM UTC
AFL

James Borlase

Adelaide Crows

Value call

James Borlase (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Marks Over 3.5 that pays $177 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 3.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
4.5 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.8% · before adjusting for past results 71.5% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap +3.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks71.5%59.8%56.5%1.67+15.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: James Borlase Over 3.5 Marks (-130)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for James Borlase to get over 3.5 marks look appealing. Our numbers show a good chance that he can achieve this, especially since the Brisbane Lions have been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games. They've also been averaging nearly 50 points before half-time, which means there will be plenty of opportunities for Borlase to rack up those marks. On the other hand, the Adelaide Crows are no slouch, winning 7 of their last 10 games too. The contest could be closer than expected, making it important for Borlase to shine early. Just keep in mind that the Crows have been pretty solid defensively, which could make it tougher for him to get those marks.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

James Borlase averaged 10.5 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 10 games in 2024.

10.5
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.6
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), James Borlase recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans8001
28 Jul 24Hawthorn5024
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans5031
6 Jun 24Richmond13164
1 Jun 24Hawthorn160112
26 May 24West Coast Eagles10071
27 Apr 24North Melbourne12050
19 Apr 24Essendon14041
29 Mar 24Fremantle10061
16 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS12021
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 2.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

James Borlase (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Borlase is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.