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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Borlase is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 72%, implied 81%, edge +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 3:37AM UTC
AFL

James Borlase

Adelaide Crows

+3.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -417 (1.24) · $100→$124
+3.3% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
4.3 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 84.0% · the book's price implies 80.6% · gap +3.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks84.0%71.8%80.6%1.39+3.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: James Borlase Over 2.5 Marks (-417)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Oval is buzzing as the Crows take on the Western Bulldogs. James Borlase has been on fire, and our numbers show he should easily reach over 2.5 marks in this game. His recent performances have been impressive, with a high number of goal assists and a solid ability to contest and win the ball. However, the Bulldogs are known for their strong defensive tactics, which could make it tougher for Borlase to find space. Still, the way he's been playing gives him a great shot at hitting that mark. With the home crowd behind him, it's a good chance to take.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

James Borlase averaged 10.5 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 10 games in 2024.

10.5
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.6
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

James Borlase has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.570%
o10.560%
o11.540%
o12.530%
o13.520%
o14.520%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

James Borlase is averaging 9.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

9.6
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), James Borlase recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans8001
28 Jul 24Hawthorn5024
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans5031
6 Jun 24Richmond13164
1 Jun 24Hawthorn160112
26 May 24West Coast Eagles10071
27 Apr 24North Melbourne12050
19 Apr 24Essendon14041
29 Mar 24Fremantle10061
16 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS12021
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

James Borlase (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Borlase is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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