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AFL

Jordan Dawson

Adelaide Crows

+4.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -164 (1.61)
+4.5% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
Model Probability
66.6%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+4.5%
Predicted Value
0.8 Goals

AI Analysis

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Jordan Dawson (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jordan Dawson's recent form, especially his L5 average of 0.8 goals per away game, showcases his goal-scoring threat. Despite a lower goal accuracy of 25%, his high involvement in scoring opportunities, with 8.6 score involvements per game, indicates he actively contributes to his team's attacking plays. Facing West Coast Eagles, against whom he averages 0.8 goals in his last five encounters, further supports his potential to find the back of the net. With an implied probability of 62.1% to score, his consistent goal-scoring trend and involvement in creating chances make him a solid pick to snag a goal in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 60.0% (30/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals Pending
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals Pending
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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