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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel Curtin is Under 19.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 65%, implied 55%, edge +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:19PM UTC
AFL

Daniel Curtin

Adelaide Crows

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 19.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+10.1% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
17.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 64.8% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +10.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals64.8%—54.6%1.54+10.1%

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AI Analysis

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Daniel Curtin (Adelaide Crows) Under 19.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Daniel Curtin is likely to fall under 19.5 disposals due to his recent away game averages. With an L5 average of 18.6 disposals on the road, his stats show consistency around this mark. Facing West Coast Eagles, where his L5 vs. opponent disposal average is 14, further supports this bet. Curtin's lower disposal efficiency (67.4%) and turnover average (3.6) could limit his overall disposals. Additionally, his L5 uncontested possessions (10.2) suggest less involvement in possession chains. With a model predicting him at 17.6 disposals and a 10.1% edge, the under bet on Curtin is a solid choice based on his recent performance trends and matchup data.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Daniel Curtin averaged 7.7 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

7.7
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.3
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Daniel Curtin recorded 10 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans10141
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide11023
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs11252
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats1000
28 Jul 24Hawthorn7001
12 May 24Brisbane Lions5010
2 May 24Port Adelaide9040
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Daniel Curtin (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daniel Curtin is Under 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 10 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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