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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel Curtin is Under 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Daniel Curtin

Adelaide Crows

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 19.5 -120 (1.83)
+10.1% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
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Model Probability
64.8%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value
17.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals64.8%—54.6%1.54+10.1%

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AI Analysis

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Daniel Curtin (Adelaide Crows) Under 19.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Daniel Curtin is likely to fall under 19.5 disposals due to his recent away game averages. With an L5 average of 18.6 disposals on the road, his stats show consistency around this mark. Facing West Coast Eagles, where his L5 vs. opponent disposal average is 14, further supports this bet. Curtin's lower disposal efficiency (67.4%) and turnover average (3.6) could limit his overall disposals. Additionally, his L5 uncontested possessions (10.2) suggest less involvement in possession chains. With a model predicting him at 17.6 disposals and a 10.1% edge, the under bet on Curtin is a solid choice based on his recent performance trends and matchup data.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
7.7avg disposals recent
Season best11
Disposals last 7avg 7.7 · hi 11 · lo 1
9571111110

Daniel Curtin has a disposals high of 11 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Daniel Curtin (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daniel Curtin is Under 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 10 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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